1860 Munchen II - TSV 1860 Rosenheim prediction 2 October 2026

Our 1860 Munchen II vs TSV 1860 Rosenheim prediction for the Oberliga match on October 2, 2026, sees the home side as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The game kicks off at 18:00 local time and odds suggest a close contest, but the head-to-head record and home advantage tip the scales toward 1860 Munchen II. This betting preview covers team form, H2H stats, league standings, and the latest odds to help you with your match prediction.

Team Form

1860 Munchen II enter this game with only one victory in their last five outings (W1 D2 L2). Their most recent result was a 5-2 away defeat at Ismaning on September 26, 2026. Prior home form shows a 0-1 loss to SV Erlbach and two draws (1-1 against both Kirchanschoring and FC Deisenhofen). The sole win in this sequence was a dominant 5-1 home success over TUS Geretsried back in July 2026, but that positive result now feels distant.

TSV 1860 Rosenheim are also struggling, with a record of W1 D1 L3 across their last five matches. They lost their last fixture 1-3 at home to Kottern on September 25, 2026, and before that managed a 1-1 draw away to Sportfreunde Schwaig 1913. A heavy 2-4 defeat at Ismaning and a 2-7 home thrashing by Ehekirchen underline defensive frailities. Their single win came against TSV Dachau 1865 (2-0 at home) in late May 2023, showing a lack of recent winning momentum. Both sides are in poor form, with defences shipping goals regularly.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between these sides, both in the Oberliga, were dominated by 1860 Munchen II. They won 7-2 at home on April 29, 2023, and also claimed a 5-2 away victory on September 23, 2022. That gives a head-to-head record of 2 wins for 1860 Munchen II, 0 for TSV 1860 Rosenheim, and no draws. The aggregate score across those games is 12-4, indicating a clear historical advantage for the home side in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither 1860 Munchen II nor TSV 1860 Rosenheim feature in the provided top-12 Oberliga standings. This suggests that both teams are in the lower half of the division, likely battling to improve their positions. With no direct points or rank data available, the table indicates that both clubs have work to do to climb into the top half, and home advantage may be crucial in a fixture where both sides are seeking a positive result.

Win Probability: 1860 Munchen II or TSV 1860 Rosenheim?

The win probabilities, calculated using bookmaker odds as a base and adjusted for head-to-head dominance and the home/away factor, are as follows:

• 1860 Munchen II win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• TSV 1860 Rosenheim win: 30%

Implied probabilities from the odds (2.05, 3.45, 2.85) after removing the margin give approximately 43% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 31% for an away win. We have slightly raised the home win chance due to 1860 Munchen II's perfect 2-0 H2H record and the home-field advantage. Both teams are in similar poor form, so the historical record and home pitch tilt the balance. This makes 1860 Munchen II the most likely winner, but a draw or a narrow away upset remain realistic outcomes given the overall instability of both sides.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer pre-match odds of 2.05 for a 1860 Munchen II victory, 3.45 for the draw, and 2.85 for an away win by TSV 1860 Rosenheim. These prices reflect a tight Oberliga contest, with the hosts installed as favourites. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head data, the most probable outcome is a home win, though the high draw and away odds imply that a stalemate or an away result cannot be discounted. Our prediction: 1860 Munchen II to win, but backing the home side with caution given both teams’ recent struggles.