29 de Setiembre - 24 de Septiembre prediction 29 September 2026

The 29 de Setiembre vs 24 de Septiembre prediction for this Primera B encounter on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:00 local time, suggests a tight match with a slight advantage for the home side. According to our win probability analysis, 29 de Setiembre has a 38% chance of winning, a draw stands at 36%, and 24 de Septiembre has a 26% chance.

Team Form

29 de Setiembre's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, W, W). They have scored 10 goals and conceded 9 in this period. A standout result was the 4-0 home win over Club Olimpia De Ita on Sep 20, but they followed it with a 0-3 away defeat to Atlantida Sport Club on Sep 25. At home, they have won their last two matches, scoring six goals without reply.

24 de Septiembre's last five results are two draws, two wins, and one loss (D, W, W, L, D), with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded. They drew 2-2 at home against Club Olimpia De Ita on Sep 9 and recorded an impressive 4-1 away win at Club General Martin Ledesma on Sep 5. Their away form is mixed, with a 4-1 victory and a 0-1 loss in their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings, 24 de Septiembre has the upper hand with 3 wins, while 29 de Setiembre has 1 win, and no draws. The most recent clash on Jul 8, 2026, saw 29 de Setiembre win 3-2 away, breaking a three-match losing streak in this fixture. Here is the full H2H record:

• Jul 8, 2026: 24 de Septiembre 2-3 29 de Setiembre
• Sep 7, 2025: 29 de Setiembre 1-3 24 de Septiembre
• May 17, 2025: 24 de Septiembre 3-2 29 de Setiembre
• Jun 19, 2022: 29 de Setiembre 0-2 24 de Septiembre

Win Probability: 29 de Setiembre or 24 de Septiembre?

We calculate the win probabilities based on the average bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head record. The initial implied odds gave 29 de Setiembre a 34.78% chance, the draw 34.55%, and 24 de Septiembre 30.67%. After adjusting for 29 de Setiembre's better recent form (3 wins in 5) and the fact they won the latest H2H, we raise their probability to 38%. The draw remains highly probable at 36%, reflecting the tight odds and both teams' tendency to share points. 24 de Septiembre's chance drops to 26% due to their less consistent form and the away disadvantage. In conclusion, 29 de Setiembre has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 36%, and 24 de Septiembre has a 26% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an extremely even contest. The best odds available are around 2.25 for a home win, 3.40 for a draw, and 2.70 for an away win. The low draw odds highlight the expectation of a stalemate. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win or a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline being a likely outcome. 29 de Setiembre's home advantage and recent scoring form give them the edge, but 24 de Septiembre's historical dominance cannot be ignored.