Paraguari AC - 3 de Noviembre prediction 3 October 2026

The Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre prediction for this Segunda Division clash on October 3, 2026, at 14:00 points to a home victory. Based on odds, form, and league standings, Paraguari AC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and 3 de Noviembre has a 25% chance. The hosts are clear favorites, backed by their strong home record and recent results.

Team Form

Paraguari AC come into this match in excellent shape, winning four of their last five games. Their recent run includes a 3-2 home win over General Caballero JLM, a 3-1 away victory at Club Doctor Benjamin Aceval, and a 3-1 home success against Guairena FC. The only setback was a 2-1 loss at Atletico Tembetary on September 28. Overall, they have scored 12 goals in those five matches, showing consistent attacking threat.

3 de Noviembre also carry decent form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat General Caballero JLM 3-1 away and Resistencia 2-1 on the road, drew 1-1 at home with Guairena FC, and edged Sol de America Villa Elisa 1-0 at home. The sole defeat was a 4-3 thriller at Deportivo Capiata. Both sides are scoring freely, but Paraguari AC’s home momentum gives them an edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw on June 28, 2026, at 3 de Noviembre’s ground. That Segunda Division encounter saw both sides cancel each other out, with no wins for either. With such a limited head-to-head history, form and home advantage become more decisive factors for this fixture.

League Table Positions

Paraguari AC sit 8th in the overall Segunda Division standings with 35 points from 26 matches (10 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses). Crucially, their home form is the second-best in the league: 7 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, and 19 goals scored at home. 3 de Noviembre are not among the top 12 teams in the overall table and do not appear in the top 8 away rankings, indicating a weaker campaign. The gap in home strength is significant and heavily favors the hosts.

Win Probability: Paraguari AC or 3 de Noviembre?

After analyzing all available data, Paraguari AC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and 3 de Noviembre has a 25% chance. These probabilities are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home ~2.12, draw ~2.52, away ~3.27), which imply a 40% home win, 34% draw, and 26% away win. We adjusted upward for Paraguari AC due to their 2nd-ranked home record and four wins in five games, while 3 de Noviembre’s absence from the top away standings reduces their likelihood. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the only H2H ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Paraguari AC as the favorite, with best odds around 2.10–2.15 for a home win. The draw is priced between 2.10 and 3.30, and an away victory for 3 de Noviembre can be found at 2.90–3.50. These odds reflect the home side’s superiority. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Paraguari AC win, but the draw cannot be discounted. Our Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre prediction: home win, with a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline likely given both teams’ recent scoring form.