San Antonio Cotacachi - 9 de Octubre prediction 22 October 2026

San Antonio Cotacachi vs 9 de Octubre prediction for this Serie B clash on October 22, 2026 at 19:30. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record and team form, 9 de Octubre enters the match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while San Antonio Cotacachi has a 30% chance and the draw also sits at 30%.

Team Form

San Antonio Cotacachi's last five matches have produced one win, one draw and three losses (W, L, D, L, L). The sole victory came at home against Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (2–0, Oct 16), followed by a 1–2 defeat at Atletico JBG Rojiblanco Guayaqui. A 0–0 home draw with Cuniburo Vinotinto FC Ecuador and back‑to‑back away losses to 9 de Octubre (0–3) and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (0–1) underline the team's recent struggles, especially on the road.

9 de Octubre's form line reads two wins and three losses (W, L, L, W, L). They beat Cuniburo Vinotinto FC Ecuador 1–0 at home and thrashed San Antonio Cotacachi 3–0 on Sep 26. Losses came at the hands of Independiente Juniors (0–1 away), Atletico JBG Rojiblanco Guayaqui (0–1 home) and Cuniburo Vinotinto FC Ecuador (0–1 away).

Head-to-Head Record

In seven Serie B meetings, San Antonio Cotacachi has never beaten 9 de Octubre. The record shows 0 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. The most recent encounter on Sep 26, 2026 ended 3–0 in favor of 9 de Octubre. Earlier in the season, they drew 0–0 on Aug 20. The H2H history clearly favors the visitors, who have scored nine goals to San Antonio's three across all seven fixtures.

League Table Positions

In the overall Serie B standings, 9 de Octubre sits 3rd with 37 points from 22 matches (9W, 10D, 3L, goals 22:14). San Antonio Cotacachi is 6th with 31 points (7W, 10D, 5L, goals 24:21). At home, San Antonio remains unbeaten (4W, 7D, 0L), while 9 de Octubre's away record is 2W, 7D, 2L with a remarkably tight defense (3 goals for, 3 against). The six‑point gap and superior overall performance give 9 de Octubre an edge, but the home side's resilience cannot be overlooked.

Win Probability: San Antonio Cotacachi or 9 de Octubre?

Taking the bookmaker odds as a base (home 3.50, draw 3.00, away 2.00), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are roughly 25.5% for a home win, 29.8% for a draw and 44.7% for an away win. Adjusting for San Antonio Cotacachi's unbeaten home record (4 wins, 7 draws) and 9 de Octubre's strong but draw‑heavy away form, we shift the numbers slightly. The final calculated win probabilities are: San Antonio Cotacachi 30%, draw 30%, 9 de Octubre 40%. The head‑to‑head dominance and higher league position justify 9 de Octubre's favorite status, but San Antonio Cotacachi's ability to hold teams at home suggests a draw is nearly as likely as a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 odds are 3.50 for a San Antonio Cotacachi victory, 3.00 for the draw and 2.00 for a 9 de Octubre win. These prices underline that bookmakers see 9 de Octubre as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, head‑to‑head record and league table positions, 9 de Octubre is the more likely winner, but San Antonio Cotacachi's home form points toward a possible stalemate. Our prediction: a tight match with a slight edge for the visitors, but a draw cannot be ruled out.