Hillerod - AaB Aalborg prediction 24 October 2026

The AaB Aalborg vs Hillerod prediction for the 1st Division match on Jul 24 at 17:00 is that AaB Aalborg are the clear favorites with a 45% win probability. Hillerod face an uphill battle at Aalborg Portland Park, with the home side’s strong head-to-head record and recent form giving them a significant edge.

Team Form

AaB Aalborg’s last five matches show a mixed bag: L, D, W, W, L. They lost 1-2 at home to Silkeborg IF in a friendly, drew 2-2 with Randers FC, beat Viborg 3-1, edged HB Koge 1-0 in the league, and suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat at Aarhus Fremad. Hillerod’s recent form is L, D, L, W, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Lyngby, drew 1-1 at Vejle, lost 0-2 at Odense BK, beat Hvidovre 2-1, and lost 0-3 at Kolding IF. Both teams have been inconsistent, but AaB Aalborg’s wins came against slightly stronger opposition.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors AaB Aalborg. In five previous meetings, AaB Aalborg have won three and drawn two, with Hillerod yet to record a victory. The most recent clash on Feb 27 ended in a 3-3 draw, while AaB Aalborg won 4-1 away in a friendly in July 2025. The last time Hillerod hosted AaB Aalborg in the league, the match finished 2-2. AaB Aalborg’s last home win over Hillerod was a 3-0 victory in August 2023.

League Table Positions

The 1st Division season has not yet started, so the league table shows all teams with zero points and no matches played. AaB Aalborg and Hillerod are both in the 12-team division, but there is no current standing to compare. Last season’s positions are not available in the data, so form and H2H are the primary indicators.

Win Probability: AaB Aalborg or Hillerod?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the win probabilities are: AaB Aalborg 45%, draw 30%, Hillerod 25%. The odds imply a home win probability of around 38% after removing the bookmaker margin, but AaB Aalborg’s unbeaten H2H record (3 wins, 2 draws) and the fact they are playing at home justify an upward adjustment. Hillerod have never beaten AaB Aalborg, and their recent away form is poor, making an away win the least likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ pre-match odds for the 1X2 market show AaB Aalborg as favorites. The best available home win odds are around 2.17, the draw is priced at 2.32, and an away win for Hillerod can be backed at 3.20. These odds reflect the market’s view that AaB Aalborg are the more likely winners. Our prediction: AaB Aalborg to win, but with a note of caution given both teams’ inconsistent friendly results. The stats point to a home victory, and the H2H dominance makes it hard to see Hillerod taking all three points.