| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 2.38 | 4.15 | |
| 1.70 | 2.38 | 4.00 | |
| 1.70 | 2.40 | 4.20 | |
| 1.70 | 2.38 | 3.90 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:12 | +11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:15 | +9 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | +5 | 18 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 |
Hobro vs AaB Aalborg prediction for the Danish 1st Division match on August 21, 2026, at 16:00 at DS Arena. Our analysis gives Hobro a 35% chance of winning, a draw at 34%, and AaB Aalborg a 31% chance. This is a tight contest between two teams in the top half of the table.
Hobro's last five matches: W, W, L, W, L. They won away at Esbjerg (2-1), beat AB Gladsaxe at home (1-0), lost heavily at home to Vendsyssel in the Cup (0-4), won away at Vendsyssel (2-1), and lost at home to Aarhus Fremad (1-2). That's three wins and two losses, showing inconsistency.
AaB Aalborg's last five: L, D, W, W, W. They lost at home to FC Fredericia (0-3), drew at home with Kolding IF (1-1), won away at Holstebro in the Cup (3-1), won away at Aarhus Fremad (2-1), and beat Hillerod at home (1-0). AaB are on a three-match winning streak, conceding just two goals in those wins.
Overall, these teams have met 29 times: Hobro won 4, AaB Aalborg won 9, and 16 matches ended in draws. The last five meetings: May 1, 2026 โ AaB 1-1 Hobro; Apr 10, 2026 โ Hobro 0-1 AaB; Mar 14, 2026 โ Hobro 1-0 AaB; Aug 1, 2025 โ AaB 1-1 Hobro; Nov 26, 2023 โ AaB 1-2 Hobro. In those five, Hobro won twice, AaB once, with two draws. The head-to-head suggests a draw is a very common outcome.
In the 1st Division standings, Hobro sit 3rd with 9 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 loss, goals 6:4). AaB Aalborg are 6th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 4:5). Hobro have a perfect away record (2 wins) but are less convincing at home (1 win, 1 loss). AaB have won their only away game this season.
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Hobro win โ 35%, Draw โ 34%, AaB Aalborg win โ 31%. The odds imply a very close match, and the high number of historical draws supports the high draw probability. Hobro's slight edge comes from their higher league position and recent H2H results, but AaB's three-game winning streak makes them dangerous.
Bookmakers' odds for this match range from 2.45 to 2.60 for a Hobro win, 2.25 to 3.56 for the draw, and 2.60 to 3.00 for an AaB Aalborg win. The market sees Hobro as the marginal favorite, but the draw odds are notably short. Our prediction: this is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, Hobro have a slight advantage, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. A Hobro win or draw (double chance) looks the safest bet.