AaB Aalborg Women - Naestved HG Women prediction 3 October 2026

Our AaB Aalborg Women vs Naestved HG Women prediction for the 2nd Division Women match on October 3, 2026, gives Naestved HG Women a 55% chance of winning, with AaB Aalborg Women at 20% and the draw at 25%. The match kicks off at 12:00 and the away side enters as the clear favorite based on recent form and league standings.

Team Form

AaB Aalborg Women are in dreadful form, losing their last five matches in a row. The defeats came against Sundby Women (1-2), Boldklubben AF 1893 Women (0-4), Naestved HG Women (0-1), Sundby Women again (1-3), and Boldklubben AF 1893 Women (1-2). They have conceded 12 goals in those five games while scoring only 3, highlighting serious defensive issues.

Naestved HG Women have been more mixed but clearly better. Their last five results: a 1-1 home draw with Sundby Women, a 1-2 away loss to Boldklubben AF 1893 Women, a 1-2 home loss to Team Viborg Women, a 2-1 away win at Esbjerg fB Women, and a 1-0 home win against AaB Aalborg Women. Two wins, two losses, and a draw show some inconsistency, but they have managed to beat today's opponent already this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record across six meetings stands at 3 wins for AaB Aalborg Women, 2 draws, and 1 win for Naestved HG Women. However, the most recent encounter on August 15, 2026, saw Naestved HG Women win 1-0 at home. In the last five matches, AaB won twice (2-0 and 3-0), there were two draws (1-1 and 0-0), and Naestved won once (1-0). The trend has shifted in Naestved's favor recently.

League Table Positions

In the 2nd Division Women standings, Naestved HG Women sit 4th with 10 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; goals 10:7). AaB Aalborg Women are 7th with only 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses; goals 8:21). At home, AaB are 7th with 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses (3:12 goals). Naestved's away record is strong: 3rd with 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss (7:3 goals). The gap in both points and goal difference underlines Naestved's superiority this season.

Win Probability: AaB Aalborg Women or Naestved HG Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: AaB Aalborg Women – 20%, Draw – 25%, Naestved HG Women – 55%. The odds imply Naestved as the favorite, and that is strongly supported by AaB's five-game losing streak, Naestved's better league standing, and their recent 1-0 victory in the head-to-head. Home advantage does little to offset AaB's poor home form (0 wins, 12 goals conceded in 3 home games).

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show variation. One bookmaker prices a home win at 3.80, the draw at 2.50, and an away win at 2.20. Another offers 4.00 for a home win, 4.10 for the draw, and a much shorter 1.62 for an away win. The second set strongly favors Naestved HG Women. Taking all stats into account, Naestved HG Women are the predicted winners. The value may lie in the away win, but the draw cannot be ruled out given AaB's desperation to stop their losing run.