Motherwell - Aberdeen prediction 15 September 2026
Motherwell
AberdeenMotherwell
Heart of Midlothian FCKilmarnockMotherwellMotherwellCelticDundeeMotherwellMotherwellAberdeenGlasgow Rangers FCMotherwellMotherwellDundee UnitedSt MirrenMotherwellSC FreiburgMotherwellMotherwellSC FreiburgMotherwellHJK HelsinkiMotherwellFalkirkHJK HelsinkiMotherwellHibernianMotherwellHB TorshavnMotherwellDundee UnitedAberdeenAberdeenSt MirrenAberdeenSt JohnstoneHibernianAberdeenMotherwellAberdeenAberdeenKilmarnockCelticAberdeenAberdeenGlasgow Rangers FCDundeeAberdeenAberdeenHeart of Midlothian FCLinfieldAberdeenTwenteAberdeenDundeeAberdeenAberdeenSt MirrenAberdeenDundee United- 11A. LowryM
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 71J. HodgeM
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 7T. SparrowD
- 13J. KangaM
- 8L. FadingerM
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 19I. Said
- 21M. Connelly
- 20Dylan Williams
- 15E. Bjรถrgรณlfsยญson
- 4Jamie Knight-Lebel
- 77W. Vogt
- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 2S. O'Donnell
- 63D. Levitt
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 27M. MรผllerG
- 23L. MayoD
- 21G. MolloyD
- 20T. OlusanyaF
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 40F. MarshallM
- 28C. CaddenD
- 32A. AremuM
- 25C. RonanM
- 15K. NisbetF
- 30D. Klein
- 26D. Happe
- 17S. Armstrong
- 31M. Ntelo
- 10A. Briedl
- 9A. Mouloua
- 22J. Milne
- 7Tony Yogane
- Lewis Smith
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  Glasgow Rangers FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Heart of Midlothian FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Dundee United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  St Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  St Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction (Sep 15)
Our Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction for the Premiership clash on Sep 15, 2026, at 18:45 points to a home win with a 46% probability. Motherwell enter the match as the clear favorite based on odds, league position, and a solid home record, while Aberdeen struggle for consistency.
Team Form
Motherwell's last five results show a mixed run: L, W, D, L, L. They secured a 3-0 home win over Dundee United but suffered defeats against Glasgow Rangers FC (1-0) and SC Freiburg (4-1 and 3-1). Aberdeen's recent form is even more concerning โ D, L, L, L, W โ with a 0-0 draw at Kilmarnock and heavy losses to Celtic (3-0) and Glasgow Rangers FC (1-0). The Dons did beat Heart of Midlothian FC 2-1 at home, but away from home they have failed to score in their last two league outings.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall head-to-head, Motherwell have 20 home wins, Aberdeen 22 away wins, and 6 draws. The last five meetings tell a tighter story: Motherwell won twice (2-0 at home in the Premiership and 2-0 at home in the FA Cup), Aberdeen won once (2-0 at home in the FA Cup), and two draws (0-0 and 1-1). The most recent encounter, an FA Cup tie in February 2026, ended 2-0 to Aberdeen, but the Premiership meeting just days earlier saw Motherwell win 2-0 at Fir Park.
League Table Positions
Motherwell sit 5th in the Premiership with 8 points from 5 games (2W, 2D, 1L), scoring 8 and conceding 5. At home, they are unbeaten with 1 win and 1 draw, keeping two clean sheets. Aberdeen are 10th with only 4 points (1W, 1D, 3L), having scored just 2 goals and conceded 7. Away from home, they have 1 draw and 1 loss, failing to find the net in both matches.
Win Probability: Motherwell or Aberdeen?
Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Motherwell win โ 46%, draw โ 33%, Aberdeen win โ 21%. The home sideโs strong defensive record at Fir Park and Aberdeenโs poor away form heavily tilt the balance. Motherwell are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the history of tight contests between these sides.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Motherwell as the favorite. The best available odds for this Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction are around 1.83 for a home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.75 for an away win. These odds imply a home win probability close to our calculated 46%. Our betting tip: a Motherwell win offers value, but the draw also looks a realistic outcome. Based on the stats, we predict a low-scoring affair, with Motherwell likely to edge it.
Motherwell vs Aberdeen โ FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
- Motherwell have a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Aberdeen have a 21% chance. Home advantage, a better league position, and Aberdeenโs poor away form make Motherwell the most probable winner.
- What is the win probability for Motherwell?
- Motherwellโs win probability is 46%. This is based on bookmaker odds, their unbeaten home record this season, and Aberdeenโs struggles on the road.
- When is the Motherwell vs Aberdeen match?
- The match takes place on Sep 15, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It is a Scottish Premiership fixture at Fir Park Stadium in Motherwell.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary across bookmakers, but typical prices are 1.83 for a Motherwell win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.75 for an Aberdeen victory. These odds reflect Motherwellโs status as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Aberdeen?
- Overall, Motherwell have 20 home wins, Aberdeen 22 away wins, and 6 draws. In the last five meetings, Motherwell won twice, Aberdeen won once, and two matches ended in draws.