Montrose Women - Aberdeen Women prediction 21 October 2026

Montrose Women vs Aberdeen Women prediction for the Premier League Women match on October 21, 2026. The kick-off is at 19:30 local time. Montrose Women are the favorites with a 51% win probability, while Aberdeen Women have a 22% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 27%.

Team Form

Montrose Women's last five matches: one win and four losses. They secured a convincing 3-0 away victory against Spartans Women on October 18, but lost 1-3 at home to Glasgow City Women, 2-3 away to Partick Thistle Women, 1-6 away to Hibernian Women, and 0-7 at home to Hearts Women. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 19 goals in these five games. Their only win came against a struggling Spartans side, so the result may not be a strong indicator of a turnaround.

Aberdeen Women are on a five-match losing streak. Their recent results: 0-6 home loss to Celtic Women, 0-1 away loss to Motherwell Women, 0-2 home loss to Hibernian Women, 1-3 away loss to Glasgow Rangers Women, and 1-3 away loss to Spartans Women. They have scored just 2 goals and conceded 15 in this period, failing to score in three of the five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is evenly split: Montrose Women have 4 wins, Aberdeen Women have 4 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent meeting on April 26, 2026, ended in a 0-1 away win for Montrose Women. Earlier in the 2025-26 season, Montrose Women won 2-1 at home. The last five H2H matches: Montrose Women 1-0 Aberdeen Women (Apr 2026), Montrose Women 2-1 Aberdeen Women (Apr 2026), Aberdeen Women 1-2 Montrose Women (Nov 2025), Montrose Women 0-2 Aberdeen Women (Aug 2025), and Aberdeen Women 2-2 Montrose Women (May 2025). Interestingly, three of these five matches were won by the away team, suggesting that home advantage has not always been decisive in this fixture.

Win Probability: Montrose Women or Aberdeen Women?

Based on the odds from three bookmakers, normalized to remove the margin, and adjusted for recent form and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Montrose Women 51%, draw 27%, Aberdeen Women 22%. Montrose Women's home status and their recent 3-0 win give them the edge, but their overall form is poor. Aberdeen Women's losing streak and lack of goals make them underdogs. The draw probability is notable because both teams are defensively vulnerable and could cancel each other out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match: Montrose Women to win are offered between 1.53 and 2.30, the draw between 2.40 and 4.10, and an Aberdeen Women win between 3.60 and 4.50. The variation reflects differing bookmaker opinions, but all agree Montrose Women are the expected winner. Our prediction: Montrose Women are the most likely to win, but given the inconsistent form of both sides, a draw is a realistic outcome. For betting tips, the home win at odds above 2.00 presents value, while the draw could be a safer option for risk-averse bettors. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, so over 2.5 goals might also be worth considering.