Al Qadisiya - Abha prediction 16 October 2026

The Al Qadisiya vs Abha prediction for this Pro League match on October 16, 2026, at 14:15 points to a commanding home advantage. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings, Al Qadisiya enters the match with a 67% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and an Abha victory is just 8%. All signs indicate the 2nd-placed hosts should control the contest.

Team Form

Al Qadisiya's recent results show real consistency: three wins and two draws in their last five outings (D, W, W, D, W). In their previous match they drew 1–1 away at Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League, and before that thrashed Al Khlood 5–0 in the Pro League. At home, they have beaten Al Wasl (2–1) and Al Ahli Jeddah (3–2) while drawing a 3–3 thriller with Al Ettifaq – only one league defeat at home all season underlines their strength.

Abha's form, in contrast, is poor. The visitors are winless in five: two draws and three defeats (D, D, L, L, L). They have scored just three goals in that period, drawing blanks at home to Al Faisaly (0–0) and away at Al Draih (0–0), and losing without much fight to Al Nassr (1–2), Al Ettifaq (0–1) and Al Feiha (2–3). That lack of cutting edge will be a major concern at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium.

Head-to-Head Record

History offers little to split these sides. The two previous Pro League meetings both ended in draws: a 1–1 stalemate at this venue in May 2021 and a 2–2 result at Abha in January 2021. With no wins for either team in the H2H, the pattern has been tight, but the current gulf in form suggests that may changue.

League Table Positions

Al Qadisiya sit 2nd in the Pro League with 19 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 21 goals and conceding only 8. Thay are a perfect four wins from four on the road and are just two points off the top. Abha, meanwhile, do not appear in the top 12 of the standings – a clear indication they are battling near the bottom. Their away record is nowhere near the top eight, making this a daunting trip.

Win Probability: Al Qadisiya or Abha?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the average 1X2 odds, the true probabilities are: Al Qadisiya win – 67%, Draw – 25%, Abha win – 8%. The odds heavily reflect the hosts' superior form, their high league position, and the visitors' struggles. Home advantage at this small, tight ground also favors Al Qadisiya, who have lost just once at home in the league. Abha's inability to win in five attempts, combined with a blunt attack, makes an away victory extremely unlikely. The most probable outcome is a home win, but the two previous H2H draws and Al Qadisiya's occasional draws at home (1 in last 4 league home games) keep the draw probability moderate. Still, the balance points to Al Qadisiya as the clear winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers leave no doubt about the favorite: home win odds range from as low as 1.13 to 1.36, the draw trades between 3.10 and 3.50, and an away win is offered at 9.50 to 19.50. Such prices mirror the deep dispariy in the squads' current seasons.

Al Qadisiya vs Abha prediction: Based on the stats, Al Qadisiya should secure all three points. A repeat of the past draws is not impossible, but the host's firepower and Abha's toothless attack make a home win the logical call. A 2–0 or 3–1 scoreline appears the most likely outcome.