AC Horsens - Randers FC prediction 16 October 2026

The AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction for this Superliga clash on Oct 16, 2026, at Nordstern Arena Horsens, tips the home side as a marginal favourite. AC Horsens has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Randers FC has a 30% probability — a tight contest where the odds imply very little separates the sides.

Team Form

AC Horsens come into this match with a solid recent run. Their last five results across all competitions read: W, D, W, L, W. After a 2-0 defeat at Copenhagen, they bounced back with a 3-2 cup win at Naesby and a 2-2 home draw against AGF Aarhus, then beat Vejle 2-1 in a friendly. That form shows resilience, especially in front of goal.

Randers FC’s last five: L, W, L, W, W. They’ve been less consistent. A 3-0 away win at Brondby and a 2-1 home victory against AGF Aarhus were highlights, but a 2-4 loss at Sonderjyske and a 1-2 home reverse to Odense BK exposed defensive frailties. The away defeat at Sonderjyske is particularly relevant given this trip to Horsens.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Randers FC have the edge with 12 away wins compared to AC Horsens’ 6, alongside 10 draws. However, recent meetings paint a more balanced picture. In the last Superliga encounter at Horsens (Nov 4, 2022), AC Horsens thrashed Randers 5-1. The subsequent league meeting, at Randers, ended 1-0 to the hosts. A friendly in January 2022 saw another 2-1 win for Horsens. The most recent competitive clashes suggest Horsens can get at Randers on home soil.

League Table Positions

In the Superliga standings, AC Horsens sit 6th with 11 points from 9 matches (3W, 2D, 4L), while Randers FC are 8th with 10 points (3W, 1D, 5L). At home, Horsens have only 5 points from 5 games (1W, 2D, 2L) — a modest record. Randers’ away form is not listed among the top eight away sides, suggesting they struggle on the road. This home/away imbalance tilts the scales slightly towards the hosts.

Win Probability: AC Horsens or Randers FC?

Using the latest bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for form, head-to-head trends and league positions, the win probabilities are:

• AC Horsens win: 38%
• Draw: 32%
• Randers FC win: 30%

AC Horsens are given the highest chance mainly because of home advantage, a slightly better overall league standing, and Randers’ unconvincing away performances. The draw remains a very realistic outcome, reflected in the tight odds. Randers cannot be discounted — they have three wins in five overall — but their away fragility drags the probability below Horsens.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the game as extremely close. The average 1X2 odds across our tracked bookies are home win 2.81, draw 2.48, away win 2.59. That puts the draw as the shortest price, underlining how competitive this Superliga fixture is expected to be.

Our AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction: based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home victory, but only by a fine margin. The high draw probability makes the ‘draw no bet’ or ‘double chance’ markets worth considering for cautious bettors. For those looking at the outright result, Horsens at odds around 2.81 offer a small value tilt if you believe home form and the recent head-to-head at this venue will hold true.