Viborg - AC Horsens prediction 1 November 2026

The Viborg vs AC Horsens prediction for Nov 1 covers a Superliga fixture at Viborg Stadion. Viborg are the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while the draw is 28% and AC Horsens has a 17% chance based on odds, form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Viborg’s recent results in all competitions are mixed: L, L, W, L, W. They lost 2–1 at AGF Aarhus on Oct 25, lost 1–2 at home to Midtjylland on Oct 19, won 0–2 at Randers FC on Oct 11, lost 3–1 to Holstein Kiel in a friendly on Oct 3, and beat FC Nordsjaelland 4–1 on Sep 20. In Superliga home matches, Viborg have 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses from 6 games, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded.

AC Horsens enter unbeaten in their last five: W, D, D, W, D. They beat Sonderjyske 5–1 on Oct 25, drew Randers FC 0–0 on Oct 16, drew Silkeborg IF 3–3 on Oct 11, beat Vejle 2–1 in a friendly on Oct 2, and drew AGF Aarhus 2–2 on Sep 20. Away from home in the Superliga, AC Horsens have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 5 matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record strongly favors Viborg. The overall H2H data lists 7 Viborg wins, 0 draws, and 1 AC Horsens win. In the most recent meetings:

• Aug 28, 2026: AC Horsens 2–3 Viborg
• Sep 4, 2025: AC Horsens 0–1 Viborg (Cup)
• Jan 25, 2024: Viborg 4–2 AC Horsens (Friendly Clubs)
• Feb 26, 2023: AC Horsens 0–3 Viborg

Viborg have won all four listed encounters, which supports their favorite status in this matchup.

League Table Positions

Viborg sit 3rd in the Superliga with 20 points from 12 matches (6W, 2D, 4L), scoring 19 goals and conceding 12. AC Horsens are 6th with 16 points from 12 matches (4W, 4D, 4L), scoring 23 and conceding 20. The gap is four points, but Viborg’s stronger defensive record and home advantage give them the edge.

In home matches, Viborg rank 4th with 12 points from 6 games (4W, 0D, 2L). AC Horsens rank 6th in away matches with 7 points from 5 games (2W, 1D, 2L).

Win Probability: Viborg or AC Horsens?

Based on the average bookmaker odds of roughly 1.51 for Viborg, 2.82 for the draw, and 4.97 for AC Horsens, the normalized probabilities are 54.4% for a Viborg win, 29.1% for a draw, and 16.5% for an AC Horsens win. Adjusting for Viborg’s home form, the 7-1 head-to-head record, and league positions, the final win probability estimates are:

• Viborg win: 55%
• Draw: 28%
• AC Horsens win: 17%

Viborg are the more likely winners, with a 55% chance of winning. The draw is the second-most likely outcome at 28%, while AC Horsens have a 17% chance of an away upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Viborg as the favorite. The available 1X2 odds for this match include:

• Viborg win: 1.50 to 1.53
• Draw: 2.45 to 4.10
• AC Horsens win: 4.60 to 5.50

Based on the stats, Viborg are the best match outcome pick, mainly because of their strong head-to-head record and 3rd-place position. However, AC Horsens are unbeaten in five matches, so the draw is a realistic betting tip for those looking for value. The predicted outcome is Viborg to win, with a draw as the main danger.