Santos de Ica - Academia Deportiva Cantolao prediction 17 October 2026

The Santos de Ica vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao prediction for the Segunda Division clash on October 16 is clear: Santos de Ica are the strong favorites based on a dominant head-to-head record and recent form. Santos de Ica has a 72% chance of winning this match, while the draw is at 18%, and Academia Deportiva Cantolao has just a 10% chance.

Team Form

Santos de Ica come into this fixture with solid momentum, having won their last two matches in impressive fashion. On October 11, they demolished Escuela Municipal Deportivo Binacional 4-0 at home, and just days earlier on October 7, they beat this same Academia Deportiva Cantolao side 3-0 away. Their last five results show two wins, two losses, and one draw (W-W-L-L-D).

Academia Deportiva Cantolao's form is a concern for their supporters. Their last five matches have resulted in one win, two draws, and two losses (L-D-D-W-L). The most recent outing was that heavy 0-3 home defeat to Santos de Ica on October 7. Before that, they managed back-to-back 2-2 draws against Escuela Municipal Deportivo Binacional and Universidad San Martin.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is completely one-sided. In three previous meetings, Santos de Ica have won all three, with Academia Deportiva Cantolao yet to register a single draw or win. Santos de Ica have outscored Cantolao 8-1 across these encounters. The most recent clash was just over a week ago on October 7, where Santos de Ica cruised to a 3-0 away victory. The trend is undeniable and points strongly to another Santos de Ica win.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda Division standings, both teams are level on 21 points from 16 matches. Santos de Ica sit in 11th place with a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, while Academia Deportiva Cantolao are one spot lower in 12th, outside the top-12 list provided, having played the same number of games. Despite identical points, the home and away form tables tell a different story. Santos de Ica are a formidable home side, ranked 7th in the home standings with 17 points from 8 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and 15 goals scored. In contrast, specific away form data for Cantolao is not detailed in the top rankings, but their overall struggles on the road can be inferred from the 3-0 defeat at home to Santos de Ica and their negative goal difference pattern.

Win Probability: Santos de Ica or Academia Deportiva Cantolao?

Based on a thorough analysis of available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Santos de Ica have a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Academia Deportiva Cantolao have a 10% chance. This calculation uses the head-to-head clean sweep (3 wins for Santos) and their recent 3-0 away victory as the primary driver, heavily adjusting the base odds in favor of the home side. Santos de Ica's strong home form (5 wins in 8) combined with Cantolao's poor defensive showing in the last match solidifies the home win as the overwhelmingly likely match outcome. A Cantolao victory would be a massive upset given the historical trend.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds are not provided in the data for this fixture. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would undoubtedly price Santos de Ica as the clear favorite. The home advantage, combined with a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record and a crushing win just nine days prior, leaves little room for any other prediction. Our Santos de Ica vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao prediction is a home win. The total goals market might also appeal, given that Santos de Ica have scored three or more goals in their last two matches against this opposition.