Estrela Amadora - Academico Viseu prediction 20 September 2026

The Estrela Amadora vs Academico Viseu prediction for this Primeira Liga match on Sep 20 at 14:30 points to Estrela Amadora as the favorite. Based on odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Estrela Amadora has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Academico Viseu has a 23% chance. The match will be played at Estádio José Gomes in Lisbon.

Team Form

Estrela Amadora are unbeaten in their last five Primeira Liga matches, with two wins and three draws. Their recent results: 3-3 at Rio Ave, 2-1 home win against Braga, 2-2 home draw with Famalicao, 3-2 away win at Nacional Madeira, and 2-2 draw at Alverca. They have scored in every match and have not lost at home this season (1 win, 2 draws in 3 home games).

Academico Viseu have two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five league matches. They beat Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 at home, won 1-0 at Gil Vicente, lost 0-3 at home to FC Porto, drew 2-2 at Maritimo, and lost 0-1 at home to Santa Clara. Their away record this season is 1 win and 2 draws in 3 league matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Estrela Amadora have dominated recent head-to-head meetings with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches against Academico Viseu. Academico Viseu have not won any of those encounters.

• Mar 05 2023: Academico Viseu 1-1 Estrela Amadora
• Sep 12 2022: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Academico Viseu
• Mar 05 2022: Academico Viseu 0-4 Estrela Amadora
• Oct 10 2021: Estrela Amadora 4-0 Academico Viseu

League Table Positions

Estrela Amadora sit 6th in the Primeira Liga table with 10 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 14 goals and conceding 12. Academico Viseu are 7th with 8 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. This Estrela Amadora vs Academico Viseu prediction also notes the two-point gap and similar home/away records: Estrela's home table rank is 7th with 5 points from 3 games; Academico's away table rank is 6th with 5 points from 3 away games.

Win Probability: Estrela Amadora or Academico Viseu?

This Estrela Amadora vs Academico Viseu prediction uses a win probability split of 45% for Estrela Amadora, 32% for the draw, and 23% for Academico Viseu. These numbers are based on the listed bookmaker odds normalized to 100%, then adjusted for Estrela Amadora's unbeaten run, the 3-0-1 head-to-head edge, and home advantage at Estádio José Gomes. Who will win? Estrela Amadora are the more likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

For this Estrela Amadora vs Academico Viseu prediction, one bookmaker in the data prices Estrela Amadora at 2.20, the draw at 3.45, and Academico Viseu at 3.70. Across the five listed odds sets, the home win ranges from 2.05 to 2.20, the draw from 2.08 to 3.45, and the away win from 3.40 to 3.70. Bookmakers see Estrela Amadora as the favorite.

Final prediction: based on the stats, Estrela Amadora are the most likely match outcome, but the draw carries a notable 32% probability. For this Estrela Amadora vs Academico Viseu prediction, the key betting angle is the home win or draw double chance.