The CS Drobeta Turnu Severin vs Acso Filiasi prediction for this Liga III match on Oct 2, 2026 at 13:00 points toward a home win. Based on the latest odds, team form and home advantage, CS Drobeta Turnu Severin has a 47% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 23% and Acso Filiasi at 30%.
CS Drobeta Turnu Severin comes into this fixture with excellent momentum, having won four and drawn one of their last five outings. They beat CS Vulturii Farcasesti 3-2 (Sep 23), drew 1-1 at CSM Targu Jiu (Sep 18), crushed Jiul Petrosani 4-0 (Sep 11), won 2-0 at Unirea Bascov (Sep 4) and defeated Acs Petrolul Hartiesti 2-0 (Aug 28). Thatโs 12 goals scored and just 3 conceded in five games, showing dominance on both ends.
Acso Filiasi, by contrast, have been inconsistent. Their last five results read: D, D, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 at home with AS FC Pausesti-Otasau (Sep 25), 2-2 at home against Universitatea Craiova II (Sep 22), won 3-1 at Oltul Curtisoara (Sep 19), lost 1-3 at CSM Targu Jiu (Sep 4) and drew 3-3 with Oltul Curtisoara in the Cup (Aug 5). One win in five, with late goals conceded, leaves them vulnerable.
There is no recorded head-to-head history between CS Drobeta Turnu Severin and Acso Filiasi. This will be a first-time meeting according to available data, so form and odds carry all the weight.
After removing the bookmaker margin, the odds imply a 44% home win, 24% draw and 32% away win. Adjusting for the huge gap in recent formโCS Drobetaโs perfect home streak versus Filiasiโs road strugglesโthe fair probabilities shift to 47% for a home victory, 23% for the draw and 30% for an away win. CS Drobeta Turnu Severinโs home field, scoring power and defensive solidity give them the clear edge.
Bookmakers price the home win at 2.05, the draw at 3.75 and an away win at 2.80. These odds already reflect the favourite tag on CS Drobeta Turnu Severin, but our analysis suggests the true probability is even stronger for the hosts. Backing the home win offers value. Given the statistical picture, the match prediction is a CS Drobeta Turnu Severin victory.