Our Acso Filiasi vs Universitatea Craiova II prediction for the Sep 22, 2026 Liga III match sees Universitatea Craiova II as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The game kicks off at 15:00 local time, and based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, the away side holds a clear edge.
Acso Filiasi's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They secured a 3-1 away victory against Oltul Curtisoara on Sep 19, but suffered a 1-3 defeat to CSM Targu Jiu on Sep 4. In cup competitions, they drew 3-3 at home with Oltul Curtisoara and thrashed FC U Craiova 1948 5-0 away, before ending with a 1-4 home loss to Oltul Curtisoara in May.
Universitatea Craiova II have shown slightly better consistency, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They beat ACS Academica Bals 3-1 at home on Sep 5, drew 0-0 away at CS Vulturii Farcasesti, lost 0-3 at home to CS Minerul Lupeni, won 4-0 away at CS Vulturii Farcasesti, and drew 1-1 at home with Jiul Petrosani.
Historically, Acso Filiasi lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Universitatea Craiova II's 3, along with 2 draws. However, the most recent meetings have gone the way of the away side. Universitatea Craiova II won the last two encounters: a 3-0 home victory on Mar 13, 2026, and a 2-1 away win on Oct 18, 2025. This suggests a shift in momentum.
In the Liga III standings, Universitatea Craiova II sit 12th with 11 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Acso Filiasi's exact league position is not available in the provided data, so a direct comparison cannot be made. Universitatea Craiova II have scored 13 goals and conceded 11, indicating a relatively balanced performance.
Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Acso Filiasi has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Universitatea Craiova II has a 45% chance. The odds from bookmakers imply a similar distribution, with the away side being the favorite. Universitatea Craiova II's better recent form and their two consecutive H2H wins tip the balance in their favor, despite Acso Filiasi playing at home.
Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this fixture. Some see Universitatea Craiova II as strong favorites, with away win odds as low as 1.60, while others present a more balanced market: home win at 4.00, draw at 2.50, and away win at 2.20. A third set lists home at 2.10, draw at 1.02, and away at 1.29, indicating a high probability of a draw according to that bookmaker. Taking all data into account, our prediction leans towards an away win for Universitatea Craiova II, but a draw is a very plausible outcome. Betting tips: consider the double chance X2 or a draw no bet on Universitatea Craiova II.