CS Uruguay de Coronado - AD Municipal Santa Ana prediction 10 October 2026

CS Uruguay de Coronado vs AD Municipal Santa Ana prediction for the Liga de Ascenso clash on October 10, 2026. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, AD Municipal Santa Ana enters this match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while CS Uruguay de Coronado has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

CS Uruguay de Coronado's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. They drew 2-2 against Pitbulls FC and 1-1 against Cariari Pococi, suffered a heavy 0-6 defeat to Carmelita, lost 0-1 to Aserri/Once de Abril, and secured a 1-0 win over Guadalupe FC. This run shows defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 10 goals in five games.

AD Municipal Santa Ana, on the other hand, has been more successful with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They beat Cariari Pococi twice (1-0 and 2-1), lost narrowly to Carmelita (0-1) and Aserri/Once de Abril (0-1), and defeated Guadalupe FC 2-1. Their attack has been efficient, scoring 5 goals in these matches, while their defense kept two clean sheets.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these teams shows AD Municipal Santa Ana with a clear advantage: 8 wins to CS Uruguay de Coronado's 3, with 4 draws. In the last five meetings, Santa Ana won four times, including a 3-1 victory on August 23, 2026, and a 5-3 win in March 2026. CS Uruguay de Coronado's only recent success was a 4-1 home win in February 2026. The most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 win for Santa Ana.

League Table Positions

In the Liga de Ascenso overall standings, AD Municipal Santa Ana sits in 3rd place with 21 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). CS Uruguay de Coronado is 12th with just 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). The gap in points and goal difference highlights the visitors' superiority this season. Santa Ana also boasts a strong away record, ranked 3rd in the away table with 9 points from 6 games, while Uruguay's home form has been poor, failing to make the top 8 in the home standings.

Win Probability: CS Uruguay de Coronado or AD Municipal Santa Ana?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are: CS Uruguay de Coronado 30%, draw 25%, and AD Municipal Santa Ana 45%. These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (home 2.55, draw 3.15, away 2.40) adjusted for recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions. Santa Ana's higher probability reflects their better form, historical edge, and superior league standing, even when playing away.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are 2.55 for a CS Uruguay de Coronado win, 3.15 for a draw, and 2.40 for an AD Municipal Santa Ana victory. These odds indicate a relatively close contest, with Santa Ana as the slight favorite. Considering the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win. Our prediction: AD Municipal Santa Ana to win.