Asociacion Deportiva Rosario - AD Sarchi prediction 25 October 2026

The AD Sarchi vs Asociacion Deportiva Rosario prediction for this Liga de Ascenso clash on Sep 06 at 17:00 points to a home win. AD Sarchi enter the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Asociacion Deportiva Rosario are given just a 15% chance of causing an upset. The data suggests a comfortable afternoon for the hosts.

Team Form

AD Sarchi come into the match with a mixed but resilient recent run. Their last five matches read L, D, D, W, D – three draws, one win and one loss. The sole defeat came away at Municipal Grecia (0‑1) on Aug 30. Before that they drew 1‑1 at home to Quepos Cambute and away to ADR Jicaral, beat Cofutpa 2‑1 at home, and drew 1‑1 with Municipal Grecia back in April. At home this season they are unbeaten in two league games (one win, one draw), scoring three and conceding two.

Asociacion Deportiva Rosario’s recent form is more volatile. Their last five results are W, W, L, L, L. The two wins came away at PFA Santa Cruz (2‑1) and at home to Municipal Grecia (3‑2). Since then, however, they have lost three in a row – away to Quepos Cambute (1‑2), home to ADR Jicaral (0‑1) and a heavy 0‑6 friendly defeat at home to Deportivo Saprissa. That run of three consecutive losses will be a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous head‑to‑head meetings between AD Sarchi and Asociacion Deportiva Rosario in the available data. This will be the first competitive encounter between the two sides, making historical comparison impossible.

League Table Positions

AD Sarchi currently sit 8th in the Liga de Ascenso overall table with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 4 goals and conceded 4. In the home standings they are 7th, unbeaten with 4 points from two games. Asociacion Deportiva Rosario are not among the top 12 teams listed in the league table, suggesting they are lower in the rankings and likely struggling for points.

Win Probability: AD Sarchi or Asociacion Deportiva Rosario?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• AD Sarchi win: 55%
• Draw: 30%
• Asociacion Deportiva Rosario win: 15%

The home side are given the highest chance because of their superior league position, an unbeaten home record, and a more stable recent form (only one loss in five). Rosario’s three consecutive defeats, including a heavy friendly loss, and their absence from the top half of the table heavily reduce their chances. The draw probability is significant because AD Sarchi have drawn three of their last five outings.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. In the absence of market prices, the prediction relies entirely on form, league standings and home advantage. The facts point to AD Sarchi as the likely winner, with a draw the next most probable outcome. Rosario would need a sharp turnaround in form to get anything from this match.