Quepos Cambute - AD Sarchi prediction 11 October 2026

Quepos Cambute vs AD Sarchi prediction for the Liga de Ascenso clash on October 11, 2026, at 20:00 points firmly to a home victory. After analyzing the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Quepos Cambute holds a 55% win probability, while AD Sarchi faces an uphill battle with just a 17% chance of an upset.

Team Form

Quepos Cambute come into this match with a mixed recent run of L, W, W, L, W in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 0-1 away loss to Asociacion Deportiva Rosario on October 4, but prior to that they secured a 1-0 home win over Municipal Grecia and a 2-0 away victory at PFA Santa Cruz. At home, they have been flawless this season, winning all four league matches with an impressive 10 goals scored and only 1 conceded.

AD Sarchi's last five results read L, W, W, L, D. They suffered a 0-1 home defeat to ADR Jicaral on September 27, followed by a 2-1 away win at Cofutpa and a 2-1 home win against Asociacion Deportiva Rosario. Their away form remains a concern, with a 0-1 loss at Municipal Grecia and only one draw in their last five travels.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides shows Quepos Cambute with 6 wins, AD Sarchi with 4 wins, and 5 draws. The last five meetings have been tightly contested:

• Aug 23, 2026: AD Sarchi 1-1 Quepos Cambute
• Mar 10, 2026: Quepos Cambute 2-0 AD Sarchi
• Jan 24, 2026: AD Sarchi 2-2 Quepos Cambute
• Oct 12, 2025: AD Sarchi 1-3 Quepos Cambute
• Aug 31, 2025: Quepos Cambute 1-2 AD Sarchi

Quepos Cambute have lost only one of the last five encounters and won the most recent home fixture 2-0, underlining their edge in this matchup.

League Table Positions

In the Liga de Ascenso overall standings, Quepos Cambute sit 5th with 16 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). AD Sarchi are 9th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The home side’s perfect home record (4 wins, 10:1 goals) contrasts sharply with AD Sarchi’s away struggles – they do not feature in the top eight of the away standings, indicating a weak record on the road.

Win Probability: Quepos Cambute or AD Sarchi?

Based on the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalized to remove margins, and adjusted for form and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Quepos Cambute 55%, Draw 28%, AD Sarchi 17%. The odds heavily favor the home side, and Quepos Cambute’s perfect home league record, combined with a superior head-to-head record, makes them the clear favorite. AD Sarchi’s inconsistent away performances further reduce their chances of an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the 1X2 odds with a home win priced between 1.52 and 2.10, a draw at 2.25 to 3.65, and an away win at 5.00 to 5.50. The wide range reflects differing opinions, but the consensus points to a strong home favorite. Based on the stats, Quepos Cambute is the most likely winner, and a low-scoring home victory aligns with their defensive solidity at home.