AD Tarma - FC Cajamarca prediction 10 October 2026

Peru ยท Primera DivisionFinished
AD Tarma
0:0
FT
FC Cajamarca
Match Info
CompetitionPrimera Division ยท Peru
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
AD Tarma
D
L
D
W
L
FC Cajamarca
L
L
D
L
W
Recent matches ยท AD Tarma
Primera Division
Atletico Grau
AD Tarma
11
D
Primera Division
Los Chankas CYC
AD Tarma
21
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
FC Cajamarca
00
D
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Cienciano
21
W
Primera Division
Alianza Lima
AD Tarma
20
L
Primera Division
FBC Melgar
AD Tarma
30
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Sport Huancayo
13
L
Primera Division
Juan Pablo II
AD Tarma
51
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Alianza Atletico
11
D
Primera Division
UTC Cajamarca
AD Tarma
11
D
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Deportivo Garcilaso
01
L
Primera Division
Sport Boys
AD Tarma
20
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Universitario De Deportes
12
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
Cusco FC
12
L
Primera Division
Sporting Cristal
AD Tarma
21
L
Recent matches ยท FC Cajamarca
Primera Division
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
42
L
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Cesar Vallejo Moquegua
01
L
Primera Division
AD Tarma
FC Cajamarca
00
D
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Cusco FC
12
L
Primera Division
Los Chankas CYC
FC Cajamarca
12
W
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
25
L
Primera Division
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
23
W
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
13
L
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Universitario De Deportes
23
L
Primera Division
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
24
W
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
02
L
Primera Division
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
21
L
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II
22
D
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
11
D
Primera Division
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
11
D
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
AD Tarma
2
Draws
1
FC Cajamarca
Previous meetings
Primera Division
AD Tarma
FC Cajamarca
00
Primera Division
FC Cajamarca
AD Tarma
22
Friendly Clubs
FC Cajamarca
AD Tarma
21
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima00000:000
2Universitario00000:000
3FBC Melgar00000:000
4Deportivo Garcilaso00000:000
5Cusco FC00000:000
6Cienciano00000:000
7Los Chankas CYC00000:000
8Sporting Cristal00000:000
9Sport Huancayo00000:000
10Alianza Atletico00000:000
11Sport Boys00000:000
12Juan Pablo II00000:000
13Comerciantes Unidos00000:000
14Atletico Grau00000:000
15FC Cajamarca00000:000
16Cesar Vallejo Moquegua00000:000
17AD Tarma00000:000
18UTC Cajamarca00000:000
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca Prediction (Oct 10)

Our AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca prediction for the Primera Division clash on October 10, 2026, points to a home win probability of 47%, with the draw at 34% and an away win at 19%. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time at Estadio Uniรณn Tarma, and bookmakers clearly see AD Tarma as the favorite.

Team Form

AD Tarma's recent home form is poor: they have won only one of their last five matches at Estadio Uniรณn Tarma, while losing four. In the latest home fixture, they beat Cienciano 2-1, but previously lost 1-3 to Sport Huancayo. Away results have been even worse, with heavy defeats against Alianza Lima (0-2), FBC Melgar (0-3) and Juan Pablo II (1-5).

FC Cajamarca's away form is mixed. Their last five on the road produced two wins and three losses. They won 2-1 at Los Chankas CYC and 3-2 at Comerciantes Unidos, but fell to defeats at Cusco FC (1-2) and suffered a heavy 2-5 loss at home against Cienciano. Both sides are struggling for consistency, but FC Cajamarca have shown they can score away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between these sides do not give a decisive picture. Both matches were played at FC Cajamarca's ground. In the most recent Primera Division encounter on April 18, 2026, the game ended in a 2-2 draw. Earlier, on January 18, 2026, FC Cajamarca won a friendly 2-1. So FC Cajamarca are unbeaten in these two meetings, but they have yet to face AD Tarma at Estadio Uniรณn Tarma.

Win Probability: AD Tarma or FC Cajamarca?

Based on the odds and recent performances, AD Tarma has a 47% chance of winning. The draw stands at 34%, while FC Cajamarca's win probability is 19%. The bookmakers' odds (home win 1.67โ€“1.70) strongly suggest a home victory, yet AD Tarma's shaky form and FC Cajamarca's ability to pick up away wins keep the draw a very real possibility. The head-to-head record also offers little comfort to the home side, as they have not beaten FC Cajamarca in two previous attempts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds from several bookmakers show the following ranges:

  • AD Tarma win: 1.67 โ€“ 1.70
  • Draw: 2.28 โ€“ 2.38
  • FC Cajamarca win: 4.00 โ€“ 4.75

Bookmakers see AD Tarma as the favorite, but the relatively low draw odds indicate they expect a close contest. After analysing the team form, head-to-head record and home advantage, the safest prediction is to back AD Tarma or the double chance (1X). A low-scoring match is likely, given the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.

AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca โ€” FAQ

Who will win AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca?
AD Tarma are the favorites with a 47% win probability, while the draw is at 34% and FC Cajamarca have a 19% chance. This points to a home win, but the draw is a strong alternative given AD Tarma's poor recent form.
What is the win probability for AD Tarma?
AD Tarma has a 47% chance of winning. Bookmakers' odds in the 1.67โ€“1.70 range and home advantage contribute to this probability, although their recent record of one win in five home games adds some uncertainty.
When is the AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca match?
The match takes place on October 10, 2026, at 19:00 local time at Estadio Uniรณn Tarma in Tarma. It is a Primera Division fixture in Peru.
What are the odds for AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca?
The pre-match odds range from 1.67 to 1.70 for a home win, 2.28 to 2.38 for the draw, and 4.00 to 4.75 for an away win. These odds come from multiple bookmakers and are subject to change.
What is the best betting tip for AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca?
Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is a home win or double chance (1X), as AD Tarma are favorites but FC Cajamarca have proven they can get a result on the road.
AD Tarma โ€“ FC Cajamarca ยท match page