Campbelltown City - Adelaide City prediction 31 July 2026

The Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City prediction for July 31, 2026, points to an away victory for Adelaide City, who arrive in far better form and sit comfortably higher in the NPL South Australia table. According to our analysis, Adelaide City has a 45% win probability, Campbelltown City 23%, and the draw 32%. The match kicks off at 10:00 AM.

Team Form

Campbelltown City Recent Matches

Campbelltown City struggle for consistency, with only one win in their last five outings (D-W-D-D-L). After a 4-1 defeat at Playford City Patriots on June 20, they played three consecutive draws: 0-0 at home to West Adelaide, 0-0 away to Adelaide United Reserves, and 2-2 away to Croydon Kings. A 1-0 home win over Adelaide Comets on July 17 was a rare bright spot.

• Jul 25: Croydon Kings 2-2 Campbelltown City (D)
• Jul 17: Campbelltown City 1-0 Adelaide Comets (W)
• Jul 04: Adelaide United Reserves 0-0 Campbelltown City (D)
• Jun 27: Campbelltown City 0-0 West Adelaide (D)
• Jun 20: Playford City Patriots 4-1 Campbelltown City (L)

Adelaide City Recent Matches

Adelaide City are in outstanding form, winning four of their last five matches (W-D-W-W-W). They opened with a 3-0 home thrashing of North Eastern MetroStars, followed by a 1-0 win at Adelaide Comets, a 2-0 home victory over Para Hills Knights, a 2-2 home draw with Croydon Kings (Reserves), and most recently a 1-0 home success against West Torrens Birkalla.

• Jul 25: Adelaide City 1-0 West Torrens Birkalla (W)
• Jul 18: Adelaide City 2-2 Croydon Kings (D) – Reserves
• Jul 04: Adelaide City 2-0 Para Hills Knights (W)
• Jun 26: Adelaide Comets 0-1 Adelaide City (W)
• Jun 20: Adelaide City 3-0 North Eastern MetroStars (W)

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, the head-to-head is evenly split: Campbelltown City have 17 wins, Adelaide City 15, and 15 draws. Recent meetings, however, favour the visitors. In the last five encounters, Adelaide City have claimed three victories, including a 2-1 win in May 2026 and a 6-2 away success in a February 2026 friendly. Campbelltown City’s last win over Adelaide City was 1-0 in May 2025.

• May 09, 2026: Adelaide City 2-1 Campbelltown City
• Feb 06, 2026: Campbelltown City 2-6 Adelaide City (Friendly)
• Aug 02, 2025: Campbelltown City 0-1 Adelaide City
• May 09, 2025: Adelaide City 0-1 Campbelltown City
• Aug 05, 2023: Adelaide City 1-2 Campbelltown City

League Table Positions

Adelaide City sit 3rd in the NPL South Australia with 36 points (10 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), scoring 35 and conceding just 16. Campbelltown City are 9th with 22 points (6 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses) and a goal difference of 28:29. The home/away split further highlights the gap: Campbelltown City’s home record is 4-2-3 (14 points from 9 games), while Adelaide City’s away form ranks 2nd in the league with 4 wins, 3 draws and only 2 defeats.

Win Probability: Campbelltown City or Adelaide City?

Using the latest bookmaker odds (average home 3.73, draw 2.336, away 2.16) as a base, the implied probabilities are Campbelltown City 23.1%, draw 36.9%, Adelaide City 40.0% after removing the overround. Adjusting for current form, head-to-head trends, and league positions, we shift the probabilities to Campbelltown City 23%, draw 32%, and Adelaide City 45%. Adelaide City’s superior away performances and Campbelltown City’s lack of cutting edge make an away win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Adelaide City as the clear favourite. The best odds on offer range from 3.60 to 3.80 for a Campbelltown City win, 2.25 to 2.40 for the draw, and 2.10 to 2.25 for an Adelaide City victory. Our Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City prediction is an away win, backed by the visitors’ slick recent form and their strong record in this fixture.