Adhyaksa Farmel FC - Malut United prediction 20 October 2026

Our Adhyaksa Farmel FC vs Malut United prediction for the Liga 1 match on Oct 20, 2026, at 09:30 sees the visitors as the favorite, with Malut United holding a 52% win probability based on form, league position, and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

Adhyaksa Farmel FC enter this match struggling for consistency, with four losses in their last five outings. Their lone bright spot was a 1-0 away win at Persijap Jepara on Oct 16. Prior to that, they suffered home defeats to Persebaya Surabaya (0-1), Bali United Persisam (1-4), and heavy away losses to Bhayangkara Surabaya United (0-2) and Arema Indonesia (0-4).

Malut United's recent form shows a stronger trajectory. They have recorded back-to-back home victories, defeating Bali United Persisam 3-2 on Oct 16 and Borneo Samarinda 2-1 on Oct 11. These wins ended a three-match winless run that included away losses to Persija Jakarta (0-1) and Persita Tangerang (2-3), and a 1-1 home draw with Garudayaksa.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior competitive history between Adhyaksa Farmel FC and Malut United. The head-to-head record stands at zero wins for each side and zero draws, making this their first-ever meeting.

League Table Positions

Malut United sit 10th in the overall Liga 1 standings with 7 points from 5 matches, recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their home form is particularly impressive, ranking 5th in the home table with 7 points from 3 unbeaten matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 6 goals for, 4 against). Adhyaksa Farmel FC are not listed in the current standings data, indicating a campaign that has left them outside the top 12, with their recent form suggesting a struggle to climb the table.

Win Probability: Adhyaksa Farmel FC or Malut United?

Analyzing the available data, Malut United have a 52% chance of winning this match, a draw is at 28%, and Adhyaksa Farmel FC have a 20% probability. This calculation is based on the inverse of the average bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin, and adjusted upwards for Malut United due to their superior recent form (two consecutive wins vs one win in five for the hosts) and strong home record. Adhyaksa Farmel FC's four losses in five matches heavily reduce their chances, despite having a theoretical home advantage.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers clearly price Malut United as the favorite, with best odds of 2.15 for an away win, while a home victory for Adhyaksa Farmel FC is offered at a high of 4.12. The draw is available at odds around 2.40. Based on the stats, Malut United are the more likely side to take all three points. Adhyaksa Farmel FC's defensive frailties, conceding 11 goals in their last four defeats, tip the balance. Our match prediction is an away win for Malut United.