PFA Santa Cruz - ADR Jicaral prediction 11 October 2026

The PFA Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral prediction for this Liga de Ascenso match on Oct 11, 2026 at 20:00 points to a clear away victory, with ADR Jicaral holding a 60% win probability according to our analysis. Based on betting odds, team form and head-to-head records, the visitors are heavy favourites to take all three points.

Team Form

PFA Santa Cruz come into this match on a dreadful run of five consecutive defeats. They lost 1-0 away at Municipal Grecia, 3-1 at Cofutpa, 0-2 at home against Quepos Cambute, 1-2 at home to Asociacion Deportiva Rosario and 4-1 away at ADR Jicaral in their last five outings. In that period they scored just three goals and conceded eleven.

ADR Jicaral, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five matches. They beat Cofutpa 3-1 at home, won 1-0 away at AD Sarchi, drew 1 -1 both at home to Asociacion Deportiva Rosario and away at Municipal Grecia, and defeated Quepos Cambute 2 -0 at home. That sequence gives them three wins and two draws, with eight goals scored and only two conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours ADR Jicaral. In eight previous meetings across the Liga de Ascenso, PFA Santa Cruz have never won – the count reads 0 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins for ADR Jicaral. The last clash, on Aug 23, 2026, ended in a 4-1 home victory for ADR Jicaral. Three of the four draws finished 1-1.

League Table Positions

ADR Jicaral sit 2nd in the overall standings with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and a +10 goal difference. Away from home they are equally strong – ranked 2nd in the away table with 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 trips, scoring 4 and conceding just 1. PFA Santa Cruz are not inside the top 12, so their league position is much weaker.

Win Probability: PFA Santa Cruz or ADR Jicaral?

Using the available 1X2 odds as a base and adjusting for recent form, H2H dominance and league standings, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: PFA Santa Cruz win – 12%, draw – 28%, ADR Jicaral win – 60%.

The home side’s chances are significantly reduced by their five-match losing streak and a complete lack of historical success against this opponent. ADR Jicaral’s odds are shored up by an unbeaten league campaign, a watertight away defence and the psychological edge from eight previous meetings without defeat. While a draw cannot be ruled out given four of those meetings ended level, the most likely result is an away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a mixed picture but all make ADR Jicaral the favourite. One odds set shows home win at 4.75, draw at 2.20 and away win at 2.20; other bookmakers price the away side as short as 1.62, with the draw at 3.70 and a home victory at 4.50. The implied probability from these odds closely mirrors our assessment.

Prediction: Based on the stats, ADR Jicaral to win looks the most reliable betting tip for this encounter. The away side’s form, defensive solidity and H2H record give them every chance of extending their unbeaten run.