AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou prediction 12 October 2026
AEK Larnaca
Omonia AradippouAEK Larnaca
Omonia NicosiaAEK LarnacaAkritas ChlorakasAris LimassolAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaApollon LimassolAls OmoniaAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaPafos FCNea SalamisAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaAPOEL NicosiaAEK LarnacaAls OmoniaAsteras TripolisAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaKarmiotissa PolemidionBeitar JerusalemAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaBeitar JerusalemAnorthosis FamagustaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouAEL LimassolAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouOlympiakos NicosiaKarmiotissa PolemidionOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouKrasava ENY Ypsonas FCOmonia NicosiaOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouKarmiotissa PolemidionEthnikos AchnasOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouAkritas ChlorakasOlympiakos NicosiaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouKrasava ENY Ypsonas FCAnorthosis FamagustaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouAEL LimassolAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaOmonia AradippouOmonia AradippouAEK LarnacaAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 |  Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 |  Pafos FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aris | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  APOEL Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Als Omonia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis Famagusta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa Polemidion | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 3 |
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction (Oct 12)
The AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou prediction for October 12, 2026, at 17:00 favors the home side. This 1st Division match in Cyprus sees bookmakers and recent form pointing towards an AEK Larnaca win, giving them a clear probability advantage.
Team Form
AEK Larnaca comes into this match in strong form. Their recent results show three wins from the last five overall matches (W, W, L, W, W). In their most recent outing, they defeated Apollon Limassol 3-0 in a Friendly Clubs match on October 3. Their last league game was a 2-1 away win against Als Omonia on September 18. The attack has been firing, scoring 12 goals in those five matches.
Omonia Aradippou's form is more mixed, yet they are proving tough to beat. Their last five results are D, D, W, D, W. The team is unbeaten in its last four competitive matches across all venues. However, three of those last five have been draws, indicating a tendency to share points, especially with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Olympiakos Nicosia and Karmiotissa Polemidion in their last two league fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five head-to-head meetings, the record is very even, with AEK Larnaca winning 2 and Omonia Aradippou winning 3. There have been no draws. The most recent match was a Friendly Clubs game on August 8, 2026, where Omonia Aradippou secured a 1-0 away win. In the 1st Division, the games tend to go the way of the home team, with each side holding a home win in the last two league H2Hs.
League Table Positions
AEK Larnaca is currently 4th in the 1st Division with 9 points from 4 games. They have 3 wins and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Omonia Aradippou sits 8th, undefeated in their 4 league games but with only 6 points from 1 win and 3 draws, scoring 4 and conceding 3. The home table shows AEK Larnaca with a mixed record of 1 win and 1 loss from 2 home games, while Omonia Aradippou remains unbeaten away with 2 draws from 2 trips, scoring once and conceding once.
Win Probability: AEK Larnaca or Omonia Aradippou?
AEK Larnaca has a 57% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Omonia Aradippou has a 15% chance. This calculation uses the available odds as a base (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin) and adjusts for the strong home form of AEK Larnaca's attack against a defensively resilient but draw-prone Omonia Aradippou side. The data makes AEK Larnaca the clear favorite.
Odds & Match Prediction
The odds from bookmakers heavily favor a home win. The available odds show an average home win around 1.54, a draw at 2.60, and an away win at a high 7.26. These figures directly reflect the gap in win probability and league standing. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head data, the match is expected to be competitive, but the superior firepower and home advantage should see AEK Larnaca secure the victory. The AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou prediction is a home win.
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou โ FAQ
- Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
- Based on the data, AEK Larnaca is the favorite to win the match. The calculated win probability gives AEK Larnaca a 57% chance, a draw a 28% chance, and Omonia Aradippou a 15% chance. This prediction is driven by AEK Larnaca's stronger form and the clear home win odds from bookmakers.
- What is the win probability for AEK Larnaca?
- AEK Larnaca has a 57% probability of winning. This high percentage is supported by their strong recent performances, higher league position, and the average bookmaker odds of 1.54 for a home win, which has been adjusted to remove the margin and weighted against the opponent's strong draw record.
- When is the AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou match?
- The match is scheduled for October 12, 2026, with a kick-off time of 17:00 local time. It is a fixture in the Cypriot 1st Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds from various bookmakers show AEK Larnaca as the strong favorite. Average odds for a home win are around 1.54, a draw is priced at about 2.60, and an away win for Omonia Aradippou is a significant long shot at approximately 7.26.