| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 2.60 | 6.50 | |
| 1.31 | 2.72 | 6.30 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 5 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 3 |
The Omonia Nicosia vs AEL Limassol prediction for October 31, 2026, points towards a home victory in this Cyprus 1st Division clash. Based on the latest odds and team form, Omonia Nicosia enters the match as the clear favorite with a 58% win probability, while AEL Limassol has a 19% chance of causing an upset.
Omonia Nicosia's recent form has been strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 4-1 defeat to Benfica in the UEFA Europa League, but they bounced back with a 2-2 draw against Olympiakos Nicosia and a 3-0 away win at Celje. In the 1st Division, they have been dominant, securing a 3-0 victory at Karmiotissa Polemidion and a 4-1 home win over Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC.
AEL Limassol also boasts impressive recent form with four wins and one loss in their last five matches. Their only defeat came in their latest game, a 3-1 home loss to Aris Limassol. Prior to that, they recorded four consecutive wins: 2-0 at Omonia Aradippou, 2-1 at home to Als Omonia, 2-0 at Pafos FC, and 2-1 at home to Nea Salamis.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Omonia Nicosia. Across 41 meetings, Omonia has won 21 times, AEL Limassol has 11 wins, and there have been 9 draws. The most recent encounters underline this dominance: Omonia won 2-0 away in January 2026 and crushed AEL 5-0 at home in September 2025. A cup match in February 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw.
AEL Limassol sits 2nd in the 1st Division with 15 points from 7 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), while Omonia Nicosia is 4th with 12 points from 6 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). Omonia has a game in hand and remains unbeaten in the league, with a superior goal difference (+9 vs 0). Notably, Omonia's away form is perfect with 2 wins from 2 games, scoring 7 and conceding just 1. AEL Limassol's home record is strong (3 wins, 1 loss), but they have conceded 5 goals in 4 home matches.
Calculating the win probability based on the odds (home 1.65, draw 2.72, away 6.30), we first remove the bookmaker margin. The implied probabilities are 60.6% for a home win, 36.8% for a draw, and 15.9% for an away win, totaling 113.3%. Normalized to 100%, the baseline is 53.5% for Omonia, 32.5% for the draw, and 14.0% for AEL. Adjusting for Omonia's unbeaten league record, dominant H2H, and AEL's recent slip, we increase the home win probability. Omonia Nicosia has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and AEL Limassol has a 19% chance.
Bookmakers see Omonia Nicosia as the strong favorite with odds of 1.65 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.72, and an AEL Limassol victory is a long shot at 6.30. Based on the stats, Omonia's superior head-to-head record, unbeaten league run, and AEL's recent home defeat, the prediction is a home win. The total goals market could be of interest given Omonia's attacking form and AEL's defensive vulnerabilities.