AFC Leopards SC - Mombasa United prediction 9 November 2026
AFC Leopards SC
Mombasa UnitedAFC Leopards SC
Shabana FCKenya Police FCAFC Leopards SCAFC Leopards SCBandariAFC Leopards SCBandariAFC Leopards SCKakamega HomeboyzAFC Leopards SCShabana FCAFC Leopards SCKampala Capital City AuthorityAFC Leopards SCBidco UnitedAps Bomet FCAFC Leopards SCKakamega HomeboyzAFC Leopards SCUlinzi StarsAFC Leopards SCAFC Leopards SCMara SugarAFC Leopards SCGor MahiaAFC Leopards SCKenya Police FCMuranga SealAFC Leopards SCMara SugarMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKakamega HomeboyzKariobangi SharksMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKariobangi SharksNaivasMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedNzoia Sugar FCLuanda VillaMombasa UnitedMombasa United3K FCMombasa UnitedNairobi City StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthMombasa UnitedSoy United FCKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedVihiga United Mulembe UtdMombasa UnitedMCF Mully Children FamilyMombasa UnitedKabati Youth FC| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United Prediction (Oct 16)
The AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United prediction for October 16, 2026, points to a tight Premier League contest in Kenya. Based on the latest odds and team form, AFC Leopards SC enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw sits at 43% and Mombasa United has a 12% chance. The match kicks off at 13:00 local time.
Team Form
AFC Leopards SC's recent results show a team struggling to turn draws into wins. In their last five outings, they recorded four draws and one victory: a 0-0 stalemate against Bandari on October 14, another 0-0 with Bandari on October 11, a 0-0 draw with Kakamega Homeboyz on October 3, a 0-0 draw with Shabana FC on September 11, and a 1-0 friendly win over Kampala Capital City Authority on August 22. That run of four consecutive league draws highlights a solid defense but a lack of cutting edge in attack.
Mombasa United's form is more mixed. Their last five matches produced two wins, one draw, and two losses. They lost 0-1 at home to Kakamega Homeboyz on October 14, fell 1-2 away to Kariobangi Sharks on October 6, beat Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 at home on October 1, drew 1-1 away to Naivas on June 13, and defeated Nzoia Sugar FC 1-0 at home on June 7. The away side has shown they can score but have been inconsistent, especially on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
There are no previous meetings between AFC Leopards SC and Mombasa United in our database. This will be the first head-to-head clash, making historical comparisons unavailable. Both teams will be looking to set an early marker in this new fixture.
League Table Positions
In the current Premier League standings, AFC Leopards SC are yet to play a match, sitting in 12th place with 0 points from 0 games. Mombasa United does not appear in the top 12 of the table, suggesting they may also be yet to start their campaign or are positioned lower down. With no points on the board for either side, this match is an opportunity to gain early momentum.
Win Probability: AFC Leopards SC or Mombasa United?
The calculated win probability gives AFC Leopards SC a 45% chance of winning, the draw a 43% chance, and Mombasa United a 12% chance. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.95, draw 2.20, away 7.50) after removing the margin, then adjusted for the home team's strong drawing trend and the away side's inconsistent away form. AFC Leopards SC's four consecutive league draws heavily increase the likelihood of another stalemate, while Mombasa United's high away odds reflect their underdog status. Overall, the data suggests the most likely outcome is either a narrow home win or a draw, with an away victory being a significant upset.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced AFC Leopards SC as the clear favorite at 1.95, the draw at 2.20, and Mombasa United as the outsider at 7.50. These odds imply a low-scoring affair, consistent with the home team's recent 0-0 results. Our AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United prediction, based on the stats, is that the match will likely end in a draw or a narrow win for the hosts. The value may lie in the draw market given the home side's form, but the home win remains the most probable single outcome. For betting tips, consider under 2.5 total goals given the defensive patterns of both teams.
AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United โ FAQ
- Who will win AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United?
- AFC Leopards SC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 43%, and Mombasa United has a 12% chance. The home side is the favorite, but their recent run of four consecutive league draws makes a stalemate almost as likely.
- What is the win probability for AFC Leopards SC?
- AFC Leopards SC has a 45% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds of 1.95, adjusted for their strong drawing form and home advantage, making them the most likely winner but far from a certainty.
- When is the AFC Leopards SC vs Mombasa United match?
- The match is on October 16, 2026, at 13:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Kenya.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current odds are: AFC Leopards SC win at 1.95, a draw at 2.20, and Mombasa United win at 7.50. These prices reflect the home team's favorite status and the low probability of an away victory.