Hemel Hempstead Town - AFC Totton prediction 24 October 2026

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton prediction: The National League South match on Oct 24 at 15:00 sees Hemel Hempstead Town as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while AFC Totton has just a 15% chance of an away victory. The draw probability stands at 25%.

Team Form

Hemel Hempstead Town's last five results show one win, two draws, and two losses (L, D, W, L, D). In their most recent league outing, they lost 1-0 away to Tonbridge Angels on Oct 17. Before that, they held Dagenham & Redbridge to a 0-0 draw and beat Slough Town 2-0. The FA Cup saw a 2-1 defeat at Wingate & Finchley and a 1-1 home draw with the same opponent. Their form is inconsistent but includes a clean-sheet win.

AFC Totton, on the other hand, have lost five consecutive matches (L, L, L, L, L). They fell 2-1 at Folkestone Invicta on Oct 17, suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at Ebbsfleet United, lost 1-0 at home to Walton & Hersham, 2-0 at Dover Athletic, and 1-0 at home to Slough Town. They have failed to score in three of those five games, highlighting serious attacking struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, with the home side winning on each occasion. Hemel Hempstead Town won 2-0 at home on Mar 14, 2026, while AFC Totton secured a 2-1 home victory on Oct 18, 2025. The head-to-head record stands at one win apiece, with no draws.

League Table Positions

Neither side features in the top 12 of the National League South overall standings. Hemel Hempstead Town's away form is notably strong—they rank 4th in the away table with 11 points from 7 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 6 goals scored, 4 conceded). Their home record does not appear among the top 8, suggesting they have been less dominant at their own ground. AFC Totton are absent from all top-section rankings, reflecting their poor campaign so far.

Win Probability: Hemel Hempstead Town or AFC Totton?

Based on recent form, head-to-head history, and home advantage, the win probabilities are as follows:

• Hemel Hempstead Town win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• AFC Totton win: 15%

Hemel Hempstead Town's mixed but superior form, combined with AFC Totton's five-match losing streak and the pattern of home wins in this fixture, makes the hosts the clear favorites. AFC Totton's inability to score in most recent games further reduces their chances of an upset.

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available at the time of writing. However, based on the statistical analysis, Hemel Hempstead Town are expected to win. The home side's better form, historical home advantage in this matchup, and AFC Totton's ongoing struggles all point to a home victory. A low-scoring game is likely, given Hemel Hempstead Town's solid defensive record away from home and AFC Totton's goal drought.

Prediction: Hemel Hempstead Town to win.