AFF Guatemala - Nueva Santa Rosa CDF prediction 7 October 2026

The AFF Guatemala vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF prediction for October 7, 2026, points to an away win as the most likely outcome. This Primera Division match kicks off at 22:00, with Nueva Santa Rosa CDF entering as the favorite with a 40% win probability based on recent form and head-to-head records.

Team Form

AFF Guatemala come into this fixture in poor shape, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent results include a 1-0 away defeat to Deportivo Achuapa on October 4, a 2-1 home loss to Deportivo Fraijanes on September 30, and a 2-0 reverse at Champs Academy Guatemala on September 26. The only victory in this run was a 1-0 home success against CSD Chiquimulilla on September 19, but that was followed by a 3-0 thrashing at CSD Sacachispas on September 13.

In stark contrast, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF are flying high with five consecutive wins. They beat Sayaxche 1-0 at home on October 4, edged Mictlan 4-3 in a thriller on October 1, and saw off Deportivo Fraijanes 2-1 on September 20. Away from home, they have been equally impressive, winning 1-0 at Champs Academy Guatemala on September 12 and 2-1 at CSD Chiquimulilla on September 6.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with two wins apiece and one draw. AFF Guatemala have won both home encounters—2-1 in March 2026 and 3-1 in August 2025—while Nueva Santa Rosa CDF have triumphed in their two home matches, including a 2-0 victory in the most recent clash on August 20, 2026. The only stalemate was a 1-1 draw in January 2026 at Nueva Santa Rosa CDF. This pattern highlights the importance of home advantage in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither AFF Guatemala nor Nueva Santa Rosa CDF appear in the top 10 of the Primera Division standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. The lack of a clear table advantage makes current form and head-to-head history even more critical for this prediction.

Win Probability: AFF Guatemala or Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

AFF Guatemala has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Nueva Santa Rosa CDF has a 40% chance. These probabilities are calculated using the teams' recent results, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor. Despite playing at home, AFF Guatemala's poor run of four losses in five games significantly reduces their likelihood of success. Meanwhile, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF's perfect five-match winning streak, including two away victories, makes them the narrow favorites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the available stats, the AFF Guatemala vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF prediction is a tight away win. The visitors' momentum and the hosts' defensive frailties—conceding in four of their last five outings—suggest Nueva Santa Rosa CDF are best placed to edge this contest.