Afk Tuchlovice - SK Poricany prediction 10 October 2026

Our Afk Tuchlovice vs SK Poricany prediction for the 5 Liga match on October 10, 2026, sees the home side as the narrow favorite. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, Afk Tuchlovice has a 40% win probability, while SK Poricany holds a 35% chance, with the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Afk Tuchlovice come into this fixture with four wins from their last five outings (W-W-W-W-L). The only recent blemish was a 0-1 home loss to FC Velim on September 26. Before that, they scored four goals in back-to-back home wins against Doksy (4-2) and Cesky Brod (4-1), showing strong attacking form at their own ground.

SK Poricany's away form is mixed: D-W-L-W-L across their last five road matches. They drew 3-3 at SK Kladno B, thrashed Spartak Pruhonice 6-0, but also suffered a 2-3 defeat at Posazavan Porici. Notably, they beat Afk Tuchlovice 4-0 in this exact fixture last October, so they will travel with confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice in recent seasons, both in the 5 Liga. Afk Tuchlovice won 3-0 at home in April 2025, but SK Poricany gained revenge with a 4-0 away victory in October 2025. The head-to-head record stands at one win each, with no draws.

Win Probability: Afk Tuchlovice or SK Poricany?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the 1X2 odds and adjusting for recent form and H2H results, the win probabilities are:

• Afk Tuchlovice win: 40%
• Draw: 25%
• SK Poricany win: 35%

The home side gets the edge thanks to four wins in five and the natural advantage of playing at their own stadium. However, SK Poricany's 4-0 triumph here last year and their ability to score goals on the road keep this contest very open. The draw probability is also significant, reflecting how evenly matched these teams appear.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced the match as follows: home win at 2.20, draw at 3.90, and away win at 2.45. These odds make Afk Tuchlovice the slight favorite, but the market sees a real chance for an upset. Based on the stats, our Afk Tuchlovice vs SK Poricany prediction is that the hosts are the most likely winners, yet the visitors cannot be written off. A low-scoring draw is also a plausible outcome. For betting tips, the value may lie in the draw or the away win, given the recent H2H result.