Aegir - Afturelding prediction 21 August 2026

The Afturelding vs Aegir prediction for the 1st Division match on Jun 29, 2026, points to a comfortable home victory. Afturelding are the clear favorites with a 75% win probability, while Aegir face an uphill battle at just 10%. The match kicks off at 19:15 local time in Iceland.

Team Form

Afturelding come into this game in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one loss (W, W, W, L, W). The only defeat was a 2-0 away loss to IF Vestri on Jun 21. At home, they have been dominant, beating Njardvik 2-0 and Stjarnan 3-1 in the Cup, and most recently thrashing Aegir 8-1 in the reverse fixture.

Aegir, on the other hand, are struggling badly. Their last five matches read L, L, D, L, L. They managed a 0-0 draw away to UMF Grindavik on Jun 26, but have lost the other four, conceding 14 goals in those defeats. Their away form is a major concern, with only one win in seven road trips this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Afturelding. In three previous meetings, Afturelding have won all three, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 2. The most recent clash ended 8-1 to Afturelding, while earlier encounters in 2023 saw 5-0 and 4-1 victories. Aegir have never beaten Afturelding, and the goal difference of 17-2 underlines the gulf between the sides.

League Table Positions

Afturelding sit top of the 1st Division with 25 points from 12 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 34 goals and conceded 18. At home, they are 3rd in the home standings with 13 points from 6 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and an impressive 23 goals scored.

Aegir are 12th and bottom of the table with just 8 points from 13 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses). They have the worst defensive record, conceding 32 goals. Away from home, they rank 7th in the away table with 5 points from 7 games (1 win, 2 draws, 4 losses) and a goal difference of -11.

Win Probability: Afturelding or Aegir?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Afturelding win: 75%
• Draw: 15%
• Aegir win: 10%

This assessment reflects Afturelding's superior league position, dominant head-to-head record, strong home form, and Aegir's poor recent results. The home side's attacking firepower (34 goals in 12 games) against the leakiest defense in the division makes an away upset extremely unlikely. Afturelding are the clear pick to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in the data provided, but the statistical model leaves no doubt about the favorite. Afturelding's form and historical dominance suggest a comfortable victory. Our prediction is a home win, likely with a margin of two or more goals. Aegir's only realistic hope is to keep the scoreline respectable, but even a draw would be a major surprise.