Nordsjaelland Women - AGF Aarhus Women prediction 27 October 2026

The AGF Aarhus Women vs Nordsjaelland Women prediction for this Elitedivisionen Women match on Sep 22 at 18:00 points heavily towards an away victory. Based on the available data, Nordsjaelland Women enters as the clear favorite with an estimated 70% win probability, while AGF Aarhus Women has just a 15% chance of winning.

Team Form

AGF Aarhus Women's recent form is a major concern. Their last five results show two wins followed by three losses (W, W, L, L, L). In their most recent outing on Sep 16, they secured an 8-0 away win against Silkeborg IF Women in the Cup Women, but their league form has been poor, including a 0-9 home defeat to Fortuna Hjorring Women in the cup and a 0-2 home loss to Koge Women in the league.

Nordsjaelland Women are in sensational form, boasting five straight wins (W, W, W, W, W). They have been scoring freely, netting 4 goals against Midtjylland Women, 6 against Koge Women, and 9 against FC Copenhagen Women in recent Elitedivisionen Women matches. This attacking momentum makes them a formidable opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is closely contested. In the last 12 meetings, AGF Aarhus Women have 5 wins, Nordsjaelland Women have 4, and there have been 3 draws. However, the most recent encounter on May 24 ended in a 0-0 draw, and Nordsjaelland Women won the previous match 3-1 at home on Mar 28. The H2H shows that while AGF can compete, Nordsjaelland's current form gives them a significant edge.

League Table Positions

The standings highlight a massive gulf between the sides. Nordsjaelland Women sit 2nd in the Elitedivisionen Women with 16 points from 7 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 27 goals. AGF Aarhus Women are bottom of the table in 10th place with just 3 points from 7 matches (1 win, 6 losses) and a goal difference of -13. The 13-point gap after only 7 games underscores the difference in quality this season.

Win Probability: AGF Aarhus Women or Nordsjaelland Women?

After analyzing the data, the win probabilities for this match are: AGF Aarhus Women 15%, draw 15%, Nordsjaelland Women 70%. This calculation is based primarily on the available odds, which show Nordsjaelland Women as low as 1.22 to win, implying a high probability. This is strongly reinforced by the teams' contrasting form—Nordsjaelland's five-match winning streak versus AGF's three recent losses—and the 13-point gap in the league table. While the head-to-head record is relatively balanced, current season performance gives Nordsjaelland Women a commanding chance to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Nordsjaelland Women as the overwhelming favorite. The best available odds for an away win are 1.29, while a home win for AGF Aarhus Women is priced as high as 29.00. The draw is offered at odds between 3.50 and 9.75. Based on the stats, a Nordsjaelland Women victory is the most likely outcome. Their potent attack, which has scored 27 league goals, should be too strong for an AGF side that has conceded 19 times in just 7 matches.