AGMK Olmaliq - FK Kokand 1912 prediction 25 October 2026

Our FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK Olmaliq prediction for the Jul 22, 2026 Super League fixture is that AGMK Olmaliq will leave with all three points. Based on current form, head‑to‑head record, league table positions and bookmaker odds, the away side holds a 50% win probability, while the draw is at 30% and a FK Kokand 1912 home victory only 20%.

Team Form

FK Kokand 1912 come into this match in erratic shape. Their last five results read L‑W‑L‑W‑L. They lost 1‑0 at Mashal Muborak (Jul 17), beat Metallurg Bekabad 2‑0 away in the Cup (May 20), were edged 3‑2 at home by this same AGMK Olmaliq side in the Cup (May 16), edged Bunyodkor 1‑0 at home (May 3) and were hammered 4‑0 by leaders Neftchi (Apr 29). That’s two wins against three defeats, and they have kept only one clean sheet in those five outings.

AGMK Olmaliq, in contrast, are unbeaten in five. Their sequence is W‑W‑W‑D‑D: a superb 3‑2 away win at Navbahor Namangan (Jul 17), a 2‑1 home cup success over Aral Samali PFK (May 20), the 3‑2 cup win at FK Kokand 1912 (May 16), a 3‑3 home cup draw with Metallurg Bekabad (May 10) and a 0‑0 home stalemate with table‑toppers Neftchi (May 3). AGMK have scored in each of those five games and are clearly the side with momentum.

Head‑to‑Head Record

History heavily favours AGMK Olmaliq. In 15 previous meetings, FK Kokand 1912 have won only 3, while AGMK have claimed 8 victories and 4 games have finished level. Looking at the last five clashes highlights the trend: AGMK won 3‑2 (May 2026, Cup), FK Kokand won 1‑0 (Oct 2025, Super League), AGMK won 3‑1 (May 2025, Super League), a 0‑0 draw (Sep 2022) and a 3‑0 AGMK win (Apr 2022). That’s three AGMK wins, one draw and just one FK Kokand success. AGMK have also outscored FK Kokand 10‑4 across those five meetings.

League Table Positions

The Super League standings underline the gulf between the two sides. AGMK Olmaliq sit 5th with 19 points from 12 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats, 17‑16 goals). FK Kokand 1912 are not even inside the top 12 – a clear sign they are in a relegation battle. The home side’s absence from the top half of the table makes it difficult to build a case for a home win.

Win Probability: FK Kokand 1912 or AGMK Olmaliq?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: FK Kokand 1912 20%, draw 30%, AGMK Olmaliq 50%. The bookmaker odds vary, but the average implied probabilities after removing the margin point to a draw‑away bias. However, when we factor in the massive table gap, AGMK’s superior form (three wins and two draws in five), and a head‑to‑head record that shows 8 away wins in 15 meetings, the away side’s chances increase well above the raw odds. The 30% draw chance reflects the fact that FK Kokand have been stubborn at times at home (e.g., the 1‑0 win over Bunyodkor) and AGMK have drawn two of their last five. Still, the data firmly answers the question “who will win?” with AGMK Olmaliq.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering a range of 1X2 odds. Typical prices are a FK Kokand 1912 home win at 3.50, a draw at 2.05 and an AGMK Olmaliq away win at 2.63. Some books shorten the away win as low as 1.98, while others lengthen the draw to 3.38. This spread shows the market leans towards an AGMK victory but respects FK Kokand’s home threat. Our final FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK Olmaliq prediction is an away win. The betting tip is to back AGMK Olmaliq to win, with the draw as a possible saver given the 30% probability. Everything we have seen – form, H2H and league position – points to the visitors taking all three points.