| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 56:32 | +24 | 55 | |
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52:21 | +31 | 49 | |
| 3 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 52:23 | +29 | 48 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 47:30 | +17 | 45 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | +13 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | |
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:43 | -3 | 37 | |
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 | |
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:43 | -4 | 33 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31:26 | +5 | 31 | |
| 12 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 23 | |
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 23:41 | -18 | 22 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21:41 | -20 | 20 | |
| 15 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 31:56 | -25 | 19 | |
| 16 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18:46 | -28 | 17 |
Our Sirius vs AIK prediction for the Allsvenskan match on October 24, 2026, at Studenternas IP gives the home side a 55% win probability and provides key betting tips for this top-flight Swedish encounter. Bookmakers' odds and the form table make Sirius the clear favorite to beat AIK.
Sirius come into the game in outstanding shape. Their last five results: a 2-2 draw with Elfsborg (Oct 18), a 1-0 away win at GAIS Goteborg (Oct 10), a 1-1 friendly draw at Brondby (Oct 2), a 2-1 away victory over Orgryte (Sep 19), and a 2-0 home win against Degerfors IF (Sep 14). That's three wins and two draws, with just two goals conceded in the last three competitive matches.
AIK, by contrast, are struggling. Their last five matches: a 2-2 home draw with IFK Goteborg (Oct 17), a wild 5-6 home defeat to Brommapojkarna (Oct 10), a 1-2 loss at Halmstads BK (Sep 20), a 1-1 home draw with Mjallby AIF (Sep 16), and a 1-4 home hammering by Vasteras SK (Sep 12). They have lost three of those five and conceded 15 goals in that period.
Historically, AIK hold the upper hand with 18 wins, 3 Sirius wins, and 7 draws. However, the most recent meeting ended in a 3-0 away win for Sirius on May 30, 2026. Sirius also won 3-1 at home in June 2025, while the other recent clashes have been tight. Overall, AIK's long-term dominance is fading as Sirius have climbed to the top of the league.
Sirius top the Allsvenskan standings with 55 points from 24 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). They boast the best attack with 55 goals scored. AIK sit 9th with 34 points (9 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses), a full 21 points behind. At home, Sirius are strong (2nd place, 24 points from 12 games), while AIK's away form is mid-table (5th, 20 points from 12 away games, with 5 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats). Still, the gap in overall quality is substantial.
We calculate the win probabilities based on the odds market and adjust for recent form and standings. After normalizing the 1X2 odds (home 1.58, draw 2.52, away 4.25) to remove the bookmaker margin, the fair probabilities are approximately 50% Sirius, 31% draw, 19% AIK. With Sirius's perfect form, home advantage, and AIK's defensive weaknesses, we shift the chances to: Sirius win 55%, draw 25%, AIK win 20%. The numbers make Sirius the team with the highest win probability.
Bookmakers price Sirius as the clear favorite at odds of 1.58, with the draw at 2.52 and an AIK away win at 4.25. Based on the stats and our probability model, our match outcome prediction is a home victory. All signs point to Sirius continuing their march toward the Allsvenskan title.