Airbus UK - Trefelin prediction 3 October 2026

Airbus UK vs Trefelin prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 3, 2026, at 14:30. Based on the odds and team form, Airbus UK are the favorites with a 57% win probability.

Team Form

Airbus UK's last five results:

• Sep 26: Penybont 2-1 Airbus UK (L)
• Sep 18: Airbus UK 4-1 Flint Town United (W)
• Sep 15: Connahs Quay 3-0 Airbus UK (L)
• Sep 11: Airbus UK 0-2 The New Saints (L)
• Sep 4: Briton Ferry Llansawel 0-2 Airbus UK (W)

They have two wins and three losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. At home, they won against Flint Town United but lost to The New Saints. Trefelin's last five:

• Sep 26: Trefelin 1-3 The New Saints (L)
• Sep 18: Briton Ferry Llansawel 1-1 Trefelin (D)
• Sep 15: Trefelin 0-4 Cambrian United (L)
• Sep 11: Trefelin 0-1 Penybont (L)
• Sep 4: Holywell Town 1-1 Trefelin (D)

Trefelin are winless in this period, with two draws and three defeats, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 10. Their away form shows two draws in the last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in the Cup on Nov 12, 2022. Airbus UK won that match 2-1 at home.

League Table Positions

In the Wales Premier League, Airbus UK are 10th with 15 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 6 losses, goal difference +1). Trefelin are not in the top 12 of the standings, meaning they have fewer than 9 points and are likely in the lower part of the table.

Win Probability: Airbus UK vs Trefelin Prediction

Airbus UK has a 57% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Trefelin has a 15% chance. This calculation starts from the bookmaker odds (1.44 home win, 2.60 draw, 5.00 away), which imply probabilities of 54.3%, 30.1%, and 15.6% after removing the margin. We then adjust for Airbus UK's home advantage, their slightly better recent form (two wins vs Trefelin's zero wins in five), and the head-to-head win. The adjustment pushes the home win probability to 57%, while the draw probability remains significant because Trefelin have drawn two of their last five away matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 1.44 for an Airbus UK win, around 2.60–2.62 for a draw, and 4.85–5.00 for a Trefelin win. These odds clearly favor the home side. Based on the stats, the prediction is a home win for Airbus UK. With Trefelin struggling to score, a home win to nil could be worth considering in betting tips.