Ajax - AZ Alkmaar prediction 31 October 2026
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta RotterdamAjaxAjaxAtalantaGroningenAjaxHajduk SplitAjaxAjaxNEC NijmegenAjaxSBV Excelsior RotterdamAjaxWillem IIFortuna SittardAjaxAjaxPSV EindhovenTelstarAjaxAjaxSionSionAjaxAjaxHeerenveenShelbourneAjaxZwolleAjaxAZ AlkmaarTwenteArarat-Armenia FCAZ AlkmaarCambuur LeeuwardenAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarHapoel Be'er ShevaFeyenoordAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarTelstarSunderlandAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarWillem IIHeerenveenAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardAZ AlkmaarUtrechtAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarADO Den HaagAZ AlkmaarOlympiacos PiraeusAZ AlkmaarGenk| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 2.70 | 3.40 | |
| 1.77 | 4.40 | 4.00 | |
| 1.75 | 2.58 | 3.70 | |
| 1.75 | 2.62 | 3.70 | |
| 1.73 | 2.62 | 3.60 | |
| 1.65 | 2.62 | 3.60 |
- 68Abdellah Ouazanemidfielder
- 36Dies Jansedefender
- 24Jorthy Mokiomidfielder
- 8Julian Brandtmidfielder
- 2Lucas Rosadefender
- 1Marc-Andre ter Stegengoalkeeper
- 4Sofyan Amrabatmidfielder
- 6Thilo Kehrerdefender
- 99Tolu Arokodareforward
- 11Viktor Tsygankovmidfielder
- 15Youri Baasdefender
- 30Aaron Bouwman
- 17Daley Blind
- 18Davy Klaassen
- 22Joeri Heerkens
- 21Jofre Torrents
- 26Maarten Paes
- 38Marcos Leonardo
- 67Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Oscar Gloukh
- 5Owen Wijndal
- 43Rayane Bounida
- 28Yves Bissouma
- 21Dave Kwakmanmidfielder
- 22Elijah Dijkstradefender
- 28Jari De Bussergoalkeeper
- 4Lewis Schoutenmidfielder
- 5Mateo Chรกvezdefender
- 9Mexx Meerdinkforward
- 6Peer Koopmeinersmidfielder
- 11Ro-Zangelo Daalmidfielder
- 17Valdemar Byskov Andreasenmidfielder
- 29Wesley Hoedtdefender
- 7Weslley Patatiforward
- 18Bendeguz Kovacs
- 14Calvin Stengs
- 30Denso Kasius
- 75Hessel de Wit
- 54Jerolldino Bergraaf
- 8Jordy Clasie
- 34Mees de Wit
- 31Rion Ichihara
- 1Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
- 2Seiya Maikuma
- 44Wassim Bouziane
AZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAjaxAZ AlkmaarAjaxAZ Alkmaar| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:12 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27:12 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 |  Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur Leeuwarden | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  SBV Excelsior Rotterdam | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 |  Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 |
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction (Oct 31)
The Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction points towards a tight Eredivisie contest at the Amsterdam Arena on Oct 31 at 20:00, with the bookmakers narrowly favoring Ajax. Based on the latest form, head-to-head data, and league standings, Ajax holds an estimated 44% win probability while AZ Alkmaar is close behind at 33%, leaving a 23% chance for the draw.
Team Form
Ajax enters this fixture with three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches (W, W, W, L, D). That run includes a 2-1 victory at Sparta Rotterdam (Oct 25), a 2-0 home win against Atalanta in the UEFA Conference League (Oct 22), and a commanding 5-2 away success at Groningen (Oct 18). A 2-1 loss to Hajduk Split (Oct 15) and a 1-1 home draw with NEC Nijmegen (Oct 10) complete the picture.
AZ Alkmaarโs recent form is also solid: two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, D, W, L, W). The visitors recorded a 4-0 away win at Ararat-Armenia FC in the UEFA Europa League (Oct 22) and a 2-1 home victory over Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Oct 15). A 2-2 draw at Cambuur Leeuwarden (Oct 18) and a 1-0 home win against Telstar (Sep 20) are offset by a 2-0 loss at Feyenoord (Oct 10).
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record across 33 meetings shows 13 Ajax wins, 5 draws, and 15 AZ Alkmaar victories. Recent encounters highlight an unpredictable rivalry: AZ won the last league meeting 2-0 in Amsterdam (Oct 2025), while the reverse fixture in February 2026 ended 1-1. AZ also recorded a 6-0 KNVB Beker win in January 2026. The overall H2H balance slightly favors the away side, but Ajax remains competitive on home soil.
League Table Positions
In the Eredivisie standings, AZ Alkmaar sits 2nd with 20 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Ajax currently holds 4th place with 18 points (5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Ajaxโs home record is modest: 5th-worst in the league with only 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss (6 points from 5 games). AZ Alkmaarโs away form is stronger: 4th-best in the division, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (10 points). The 2-point gap and the away form data suggest a closely matched contest.
Win Probability: Ajax or AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and AZ Alkmaar has a 33% chance. We calculated these probabilities using the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.70, draw 2.58, away 3.30), removing the bookmaker margin to get true implied chances, then adjusting for form and recent H2H results. Ajaxโs higher home-advantage weight is tempered by their poor home record (only 1 win in 5) and AZโs strong away numbers; thus the win probability tilts only modestly toward Ajax. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the teamsโ recent stalemates.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Ajax as the favorite with the best home win odds at 1.70, against a draw priced at 2.58 and an AZ Alkmaar away victory at 3.30. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a narrow Ajax victory, but the underlying form and H2H trends suggest that AZ Alkmaar is a live underdog. The prediction is a competitive, low-margin affair where both teams can score.
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar โ FAQ
- Who will win Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Ajax is the most likely winner with a 44% chance, while AZ Alkmaar has a 33% chance and the draw stands at 23%. These probabilities factor in the head-to-head record (15 AZ wins vs 13 Ajax wins), league standings, and home/away form.
- What is the win probability for Ajax?
- Ajax has a 44% probability of winning. This estimate is based on bookmaker odds (best home price 1.70), Ajaxโs solid recent form (W, W, W, L, D), and the Amsterdam Arena home advantage, adjusted for a weak home league record of only 1 win in 5.
- When is the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar match?
- The Eredivisie match between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar is scheduled for Oct 31 at 20:00 (local time). It will be played at the Amsterdam Arena in Amsterdam, Netherlands.
- What are the odds for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The best available 1X2 odds are 1.70 for an Ajax home win, 2.58 for the draw, and 3.30 for an AZ Alkmaar away victory. Several bookmakers are pricing this match, with the home win ranging from 1.70 to 1.91.