Aktobe Women - Ajax Women prediction 30 September 2026

The Aktobe Women vs Ajax Women prediction for the Europa Cup Women match on Sep 30 at 15:00 points to a clear away victory. Based on the odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record, Ajax Women have an 80% probability of winning this match, while Aktobe Women hold just a 5% chance and the draw sits at 15%.

Team Form

Aktobe Women come into this tie with a mixed run of results: L, L, W, W, W in their last five outings. The most recent was an 8-0 defeat away to Ajax Women in the first leg of this Europa Cup Women tie. That was followed by a 1-0 home loss to Tomiris Turan Women in the Super League Women. Prior to those setbacks, they recorded three consecutive wins — 7-0 at FK Astana Women, 7-0 at FC Zhenis Women, and a 5-0 home victory over Shakhtar Karagandy Women. The heavy defeats against Ajax and Tomiris Turan, however, highlight a significant gap in quality when facing stronger opposition.

Ajax Women, in contrast, are in formidable form with a W, W, W, L, W sequence. They demolished ADO Den Haag Women 7-1 at home in the Eredivisie Women, crushed Aktobe Women 8-0 in the first leg, and beat AZ Alkmaar Women 5-1. The only blemish was a 3-1 loss at VV Heerenveen Women, but they immediately bounced back with a 1-0 home win over De Graafschap Women. Ajax have scored 22 goals in their last five matches, underlining their attacking firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place just a week ago, on Sep 23, when Ajax Women hosted Aktobe Women and ran out 8-0 winners. That result gives Ajax a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head record, with no draws or wins for Aktobe. The one-sided nature of that match strongly influences the prediction for this return leg.

Win Probability: Aktobe Women or Ajax Women?

After normalizing the 1X2 odds to remove the bookmaker margin and adjusting for team form and the H2H result, the win probabilities are as follows: Aktobe Women 5%, draw 15%, Ajax Women 80%. The odds implied a 79.3% chance for Ajax, and the 8-0 first-leg scoreline, combined with Ajax’s superior recent performances, pushes that figure slightly higher. Aktobe’s home advantage offers little comfort given the gulf in class displayed a week ago.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Europa Cup Women fixture show Ajax Women as overwhelming favorites. The home win for Aktobe Women is priced at 21.00, the draw at 5.50, and an away win for Ajax Women at 1.14. Bookmakers see Ajax as the clear frontrunner, and the stats back that view. Based on all available data, Ajax Women are expected to win comfortably again, likely with a margin of several goals.