Al Adalah - Al Anwar Club prediction 12 October 2026

The Al Adalah vs Al Anwar Club prediction for October 12, 2026, in the Saudi Division 1 sees bookmakers tilt slightly towards the visitors. Based on odds, recent form and league positions, Al Anwar Club has a 38% win probability, Al Adalah holds a 36% chance, and the draw sits at 26%. It’s a match where the away side enters as a marginal favourite but the hosts will draw confidence from a home win in the only previous head‑to‑head meeting at this ground.

Team Form

Al Adalah go into this fixture with mixed form across their last five outings: L‑W‑D‑W‑L. That sequence includes a 3‑2 loss at Damac, a 1‑0 home win over Al Jandal, a 1‑1 home draw with Al Saqer, a 1‑0 away victory at Al Bukiryah, and a narrow 4‑3 home defeat to Al Taee Hail. They have managed two wins in that period but have also conceded nine goals in five matches, showing defensive vulnerability.

Al Anwar Club’s recent form reads D‑W‑W‑D‑L. They drew 1‑1 at home with Al Najma Club, won 1‑0 away at Al Saqer, beat Al Taee Hail 2‑0 at home, drew 1‑1 at Hajer, and lost 1‑0 at home to Al Ula. That away win and two away draws in their last three trips highlight a solid travelling record, with only one loss in that span.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The two sides have met twice in Division 1. Al Adalah won the home fixture 2‑1 on 2 May 2026, while Al Anwar Club emphatically took the reverse meeting 4‑1 at home on 5 January 2026. The head‑to‑head is evenly split with one win apiece, and each team has shown the ability to score multiple goals against the other.

League Table Positions

Al Anwar Club sits 4th in the Division 1 standings with 9 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, goal difference 5‑3). Al Adalah is 8th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 9‑9 goal difference). On home soil, Al Adalah have collected 4 points from 3 games (1‑1‑1), while Al Anwar Club have earned 5 points from 3 away outings (1‑2‑0), scoring 2 and conceding only 1. The table confirms Al Anwar Club are the more consistent side and harder to beat on the road.

Win Probability: Al Adalah or Al Anwar Club?

We calculate the win probabilities by starting with the bookmakers’ first listed odds: Al Adalah 2.75, Draw 3.50, Al Anwar Club 2.54. The inverse odds imply a home win chance of 36.4%, draw 28.6% and away win 39.4%. After normalising to remove the overround (1.043), the base probabilities are 34.9%, 27.4% and 37.8%. We then adjust for current form, home advantage and the head‑to‑head home win for Al Adalah. The slight upward adjustment for the hosts and a small reduction for the away side gives the final percentages: Al Adalah 36%, Draw 26%, Al Anwar Club 38%. The match is extremely tight, but Al Anwar Club’s unbeaten away league record and higher standing make them a fractional favourite according to the data.

Al Adalah vs Al Anwar Club Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers see Al Anwar Club as the narrow favourite with away odds of 2.54, while a home win is offered at 2.75 and the draw at 3.50. These odds vary slightly across bookies – alternative prices include home 2.62, draw 2.15, away 2.92 – but the general pattern remains: the visitors are the marginal choice. Based on the underlying stats, form and head‑to‑head, Al Anwar Club is the more likely winner. However, Al Adalah’s home victory in the only previous meeting at this venue adds a note of caution. When picking a winner, the data leans towards the away side, but a draw cannot be ruled out given both teams’ recent frequency of sharing points.