Tripoli - Al Akhaa Al Ahli prediction 13 October 2026

Tripoli vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 13 at 13:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Tripoli are the likely winners with a 45% chance, while a draw is estimated at 30% and Al Akhaa Al Ahli at 25%. This Tripoli vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli betting preview breaks down the key stats.

Team Form

Tripoli's last five matches show inconsistent results: one win, one draw and three losses (D, L, W, L, L). Their most recent outing on Oct 9 ended 1-1 at home against Al Ahed. Earlier results include a 0-3 defeat to Tadamon Sour, a 1-0 win over Al Hikma, and two 0-1 losses to Shabab Al Ghazieh and Shabab Al Sahel.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli have struggled for wins, with their last five results reading L, L, D, D, D. They lost 0-2 at home to Al Nejmeh on Oct 8. Before that, they drew 0-0 with Salam Zgharta, 2-2 with Al Safa SC, 0-0 with Tadamon Sour, and lost 2-1 to Al Hikma.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these teams, Tripoli have won twice, Al Akhaa Al Ahli once, and one match ended in a draw. Tripoli won 3-1 on Feb 4 2023, and the Nov 25 2022 game finished 2-2. Al Akhaa Al Ahli took a 2-0 home win on Apr 30 2022, while Tripoli won 2-1 away on Dec 9 2018.

League Table Positions

Tripoli currently sit in 7th place in the Premier League with 1 point from 1 match (1 goal scored, 1 goal conceded). Al Akhaa Al Ahli are 11th with 0 points from 1 match (0 goals scored, 2 conceded). Tripoli's higher position gives them a small edge in this fixture.

Win Probability: Tripoli or Al Akhaa Al Ahli?

The win probability for this match is estimated at 45% for a Tripoli win, 30% for a draw and 25% for an Al Akhaa Al Ahli win. These figures are based on bookmaker odds (inverse odds normalized and adjusted for team form and head-to-head). The first bookmaker has home 2.75, draw 2.05, away 3.75; the second has home 1.95, draw 3.10, away 3.50. Raw implied probabilities from odds slightly favor the draw on one book, but Tripoli's better league position, home advantage and superior H2H record shift the model toward the home side.

Conclusion: Tripoli are more likely to win than Al Akhaa Al Ahli, but the draw remains a strong possibility at 30%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for the 1X2 market. One bookmaker lists Tripoli at 2.75, the draw at 2.05 and Al Akhaa Al Ahli at 3.75; another sets Tripoli at 1.95, the draw at 3.10 and Al Akhaa Al Ahli at 3.50. Based on the stats and probabilities, the best betting pick leans toward a Tripoli win or draw. Tripoli has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Al Akhaa Al Ahli has a 25% chance.