Al Baqaa - Al Salt prediction 16 October 2026

Looking for an Al Baqaa vs Al Salt prediction? The Jordan Pro League match kicks off on October 16, 2026, at 17:30. Our analysis gives Al Salt a 45% win probability, while Al Baqaa has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Al Baqaa's last five matches: W, L, D, W, L. They most recently beat Shabab Al Ordon 3-0 away on Oct 8, but suffered a heavy 0-4 home loss to Al Faisaly on Sep20. Al Baqaa also drew 0-0 at Al Hussein Irbid (Sep11) and beat Dogra 1-0 at home (Sep3), before a 2-5 away defeat to AL Ramtha in May.

Al Salt's last five: L, L, D, W, D. They lost 0-1 at home to Al Faisaly on Oct10 and 0-2 at Dogra on Sep17. A 0-0 home draw with Al Wehdat (Sep12) and a 3-1 away win at Al Arabi Irbid (Sep5) followed an earlier 1-1 draw at Al Jazeera Amman (May7). Al Salt has been inconsistent, picking up only one win in this stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

Al Salt leads the H2H with 4 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in6 meetings. The most recent clash (Apr26,2026) ended Al Baqaa 1-3 Al Salt. Al Baqaa did win 3-1 away at Al Salt in Feb2026, but overall Al Salt has dominated: 5-1 and 1-0 wins in 2025, plus a 1-1 draw in the 2025 Shield Cup. Historically, Al Salt has had the upper hand.

League Table Positions

Al Baqaa sits 3rd in the Pro League with7 points (2W 1D 1L, GF4 GA4), while Al Salt is7th with4 points (1W 1D 2L, GF3 GA4). Al Baqaa's home record is 1 win, 1 loss (GF1 GA4); Al Salt's away record is 1 win, 1 loss (GF3 GA3). Although Al Baqaa is higher, both teams have similar inconsistency and have struggled defensively at times.

Win Probability: Al Baqaa or Al Salt?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as: Al Baqaa win – 30%, Draw – 25%, Al Salt win – 45%. This is derived from the bookmakers' 1X2 odds (average 2.92 for Al Baqaa, 2.47 for the draw, 2.74 for Al Salt) with adjustments for the head-to-head record, recent form, and home/away factors. The odds implied a tight contest, but Al Salt's 4-1 H2H edge significantly improves their chances. Al Baqaa's home record (1W 1L, only 1 goal scored) does not inspire confidence, while Al Salt's away ability (1W 1L) gives them the edge in what is likely to be a low-scoring affair.

Al Baqaa vs Al Salt Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The best odds for a home win are around 2.85–3.00, the draw ranges from 2.05 to 3.25, and an Al Salt victory is priced at 2.50–2.90. Based on all the stats – form, table positions, and especially the head-to-head dominance – the value leans towards Al Salt. Our prediction: Al Salt is more likely to win, with a draw as the second most probable outcome. When placing any betts, consider that Al Baqaa have only scored once in their last two home games, while Al Salt netted three in their last away match.