Abha - Al Faisaly Harmah prediction 27 October 2026

The Abha vs Al Faisaly Harmah match on October 27, 2026, in the Saudi Pro League is a crucial lower-table clash. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, a draw is the most probable outcome, with Al Faisaly Harmah holding a slight win probability edge over Abha. This Abha vs Al Faisaly Harmah prediction gives the away side a 30% chance of winning, the home team 28%, and the draw a leading 42% probability.

Team Form

Abha enters this match in poor form, with their last five results reading L, L, D, D, L. They have failed to win any of those matches, scoring just two goals across the five games and losing to NEOM Sports Club, Al Qadisiya, and Al Nassr Riyadh. Their most recent positive result was a 0–0 draw at home against this same Al Faisaly Harmah side on October 11, 2026. Abha's attack has looked toothless, and they will rely on home advantage at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium to break their winless run.

Al Faisaly Harmah's last five results are L, D, W, D, L. They managed a 3–2 home win against Al Khlood on October 15, but suffered heavy losses to Al Nassr Riyadh (1–3) and Al Ittihad Jeddah (1–3). A 2–2 draw away at Al Shabab Riyadh on October 19 shows they can be competitive on the road, though consistency remains a concern. The team has scored in each of their last five matches but has conceded at least two goals in four of those games.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head record shows Al Faisaly Harmah with a 6–2 advantage in wins over Abha, with 4 draws. However, recent meetings heavily favor a stalemate: the last five encounters produced four draws and one Abha away victory. The most recent match, on October 11, 2026, ended 0–0 in Abha. Past results include a 2–2 draw on September 11, 2025, and another 2–2 draw on February 18, 2025. This pattern suggests a tight, low-scoring contest is likely once again.

League Table Positions

Both Abha and Al Faisaly Harmah are absent from the top 12 of the league table provided, indicating they occupy lower places in the Pro League. This context increases the importance of the fixture for both sides as they look to distance themselves from the relegation zone. No further position or points data is available in the supplied statistics.

Win Probability: Abha or Al Faisaly Harmah?

Taking into account the bookmaker odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away factors, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• Abha win: 28%
• Draw: 42%
• Al Faisaly Harmah win: 30%

The base odds implied a nearly equal chance for all three results, with a slight leaning towards the draw. After adjusting for Abha's dreadful form (no wins in five), Al Faisaly's marginally better attacking output, and the recent H2H dominance of draws (four in the last five meetings), the draw percentage is increased. Abha's home advantage is offset by their inability to score, while Al Faisaly's away record is mixed, leaving the draw as the most statistically sound prediction. Al Faisaly Harmah, with a 30% win chance, is narrowly the more likely side to take all three points if a winner does emerge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering a wide range of odds for this match, reflecting its uncertain nature. Across the six bookmakers in the data, Abha's odds range from 2.40 to 2.82, the draw from 2.15 to 3.20, and an Al Faisaly Harmah win from 2.50 to 3.00. The draw odds are generally the shortest, confirming the market's anticipation of a tight, drawn affair.

Our match prediction aligns with the odds: a draw is the most expected outcome. However, if you are looking for a betting tip on the winner, the stats give Al Faisaly Harmah a fractional edge over Abha. Expect a low-scoring game with few clear chances, consistent with both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.