Al Hilal Riyadh - Al Ittihad Jeddah prediction 10 October 2026

The Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad Jeddah prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a home win in the Pro League. Bookmakers price Al Hilal Riyadh as the clear favourite, and our win probability model gives them a 55% chance of taking the three points. The match kicks off at 19:00 at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh.

Team Form

Al Hilal Riyadh come into this match with four wins from their last five (W-W-L-W-W). Their only slip was a 0‑2 home loss to NEOM Sports Club on September 7. Since then they have hammered Al Taawon Buraidah 6‑0 away and beaten Al Ahli Jeddah 3‑0 at home, scoring nine goals and conceding none in their most recent two outings.

Al Ittihad Jeddah are unbeaten in five (D-W-W-W-D) but have drawn two of those. Their most recent result was a 1‑1 draw at Al Shamal in the AFC Champions League. In the Pro League they have collected wins over Al Faisaly Harmah, Al Feiha and Al Nassr Riyadh, keeping their unbeaten league record intact.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The historical head‑to‑head heavily favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 16 wins, 7 draws and only 2 defeats. The last five meetings across all competitions show Al Hilal won twice, drew twice and lost once. The most recent clash, on February 21, 2026, ended 1‑1 at Kingdom Arena. Al Ittihad’s last victory in this fixture was a 4‑1 home win on February 22, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the Pro League standings, Al Hilal Riyadh sit third with 18 points from 7 games (W6 D0 L1, goals 23‑5), while Al Ittihad Jeddah occupy fourth on 17 points (W5 D2 L0, goals 12‑6). Al Hilal have recorded 2 wins and 1 loss at home (7‑4 goals). Al Ittihad are solid travellers, collecting 7 points from 3 away matches (W2 D1 L0, 4‑1 goals) and remaining unbeaten on the road.

Win Probability: Al Hilal Riyadh or Al Ittihad Jeddah?

After adjusting bookmaker odds for the overround, Al Hilal Riyadh’s win probability stands at 55%. The draw is estimated at 28%, while an Al Ittihad Jeddah victory has a 17% chance. The calculation uses the average market odds (home 1.57, draw 2.75, away 5.80) and factors in Al Hilal’s dominant head‑to‑head, their superior goal difference and home advantage. The model clearly identifies Al Hilal Riyadh as the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers show Al Hilal Riyadh as the expected winner. The best odds for a home victory range from 1.25 to 1.57, while a draw pays between 2.75 and 5.25 and an Al Ittihad away win between 5.80 and 9.40. These odds reflect Al Hilal’s strong profile. Based on the stats, Al Hilal Riyadh are the team most likely to win, although Al Ittihad’s unbeaten league record means a draw cannot be discounted. The final prediction is a home victory, with Al Hilal’s attack expected to break down a resilient opponent.