| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | +14 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | +8 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
The Premier League match between Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria and El Gounah on Oct 13 at 18:00 promises to be a tight affair. Based on our analysis, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria enters as the favourite with a 45% win probability, while El Gounah has a 20% chance of an upset.
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria's recent form across all competitions reads L, W, W, W, L. The latest loss came in the League Cup on Oct 8, but league performances have been solid โ a 2-0 away win at Al Masry, a 1-0 home win against Asyut Petroleum, and a 2-0 away victory over Abu Qair Semad. El Gounah are struggling badly: L, L, L, L, D. Their last win is nowhere in sight, with a 2-0 League Cup defeat and four league outings yielding just one point from a 1-1 draw at El Qanah FC.
The overall H2H record shows Al Ittihad leading with 8 wins to El Gounah's 5, plus 3 draws. However, the last five meetings paint a different picture: 1 win for Al Ittihad, 2 for El Gounah, and 2 draws. The most recent match, on Apr 4 2026, ended 0-0 at El Gounah.
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria sits 6th in the Premier League with 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their away form is particularly impressive โ 3rd in the away table with 7 points. El Gounah does not appear in the top 12 of the overall table, highlighting their poor campaign so far.
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Al Ittihad win 45%, draw 35%, El Gounah win 20%. The odds indicate a balanced contest, but Al Ittihad's superior league standing and El Gounah's terrible form shift the balance toward the home side.
Average pre-match odds are Al Ittihad 2.15, Draw 2.12, El Gounah 4.14. Bookmakers see this as a match where the favourite barely separates from the draw. While the odds suggest a tight game, our prediction leans toward a home victory โ Al Ittihad to win. However, the draw retains a significant probability and shouldn't be dismissed.