Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria - Wadi Degla prediction 8 October 2026

Our Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs Wadi Degla prediction for the League Cup match on October 8, 2026, at 15:00 gives the home side a 42% chance of victory. The bookmakers see a tight contest, but recent form and home advantage tilt the probabilities in Al Ittihad's favour.

Team Form

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria come into this match in strong shape. Their last five results show three wins, one loss, and one draw (W-W-W-L-D). Notably, they secured a 2-0 away win at Al Masry on September 15 and a 1-0 home victory over Asyut Petroleum on September 7. The only blip was a 1-3 home defeat to Ceramica Cleopatra on August 28, but overall the team has collected 10 points from the last 15 available.

Wadi Degla's recent form is less convincing. Their last five matches produced one win, two draws, and two losses (L-L-D-W-D). A 0-2 home loss to Al Mokawloon on September 15 and a 1-2 away defeat at Modern Sport FC on September 9 highlight defensive issues. The 3-1 away win at ENPPI on August 28 remains their only victory in this stretch, leaving them with just 5 points from the last 15.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favours Wadi Degla. In 13 previous meetings, Al Ittihad have won only twice, while Wadi Degla have claimed 6 victories, with 5 draws. The most recent clash, on April 29, 2026, ended in a 4-1 home win for Wadi Degla. Al Ittihad's last home fixture against Wadi Degla, on October 27, 2025, also went the way of the visitors (1-2). Historically, Wadi Degla have dominated this fixture, but current form suggests a possible shift.

Win Probability: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs Wadi Degla Prediction

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria win: 42%
• Draw: 30%
• Wadi Degla win: 28%

The odds implied a close match, with an average home win probability of 36.4%, a draw at 34.0%, and an away win at 29.6% after removing the bookmaker margin. We adjusted these figures upward for Al Ittihad due to their excellent recent form (three wins in five) and the home factor, while Wadi Degla's poor run and historical edge balanced out. The high number of draws in past meetings (5 out of 13) keeps the draw probability significant. Overall, Al Ittihad are the more likely winners, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a wide range of odds for this League Cup tie. The home win is priced between 2.00 and 3.10, the draw between 2.00 and 3.25, and the away win between 2.75 and 3.25. Such variation reflects the uncertainty around the match. The best available odds for an Al Ittihad victory stand at 3.10, implying a 32.3% chance, while some bookies see them as short as 2.00 (50% implied).

Considering all stats, our match prediction is a narrow win for Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria. However, the high draw probability and Wadi Degla's historical dominance mean betting on the home side carries risk. A draw no bet on Al Ittihad or a double chance 1X could be safer options for those looking at betting tips.