Al Kharitiyath - Al Wakrah prediction 28 September 2026

The Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakrah prediction for this Stars Cup clash on September 28, 2026, identifies Al Wakrah as the clear favourite. Our match analysis gives the visitors a 48% win probability, a draw at 32%, and the hosts just a 20% chance based on odds, form and head‑to‑head data. With kick‑off at 16:00 local time, all signs point to an away victory in this Qatari cup tie.

Team Form

Al Kharitiyath’s last five outings read L, D, W, D, L – a single win, two draws and two defeats. In their most recent Stars Cup fixture they lost 1‑0 away to Umm Salal on Sep 21. Before that, a 1‑1 draw at Mesaimeer in League 2 and a 3‑1 home win over Al Khor. They also shared a goalless draw with AL Shamal Future and suffered a heavy 3‑0 loss at Al Shahaniya in the Stars League back in May. The pattern is one of inconsistency; they have managed just one clean sheet in this sequence and rarely score more than once.

Al Wakrah come into this match with form W, D, L, L, D. They started the Stars Cup with a narrow 1‑0 home win over Al Sailiya on Sep 20. In league action they drew 1‑1 at home with Al Shamal, were thrashed 4‑0 at Lusail, lost 2‑1 at home to Al Rayyan, and drew 2‑2 with Qatar SC. Like their opponents, Al Wakrah have struggled for consistency, but the win against Al Sailiya gives them a psychological edge entering this cup tie. Their away form is a concern, however, with the heavy Lusail defeat still fresh.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The overall head‑to‑head record heavily favours Al Wakrah. In four previous meetings, Al Wakrah have won three times and Al Kharitiyath just once; there have been no draws. The most recent encounter (April 2021, Stars League) ended 2‑0 in Al Wakrah’s favour at Al Kharitiyath’s ground. Al Kharitiyath’s only success came at home in April 2018 (2‑1), but the very next home clash produced a 9‑5 win for Al Wakrah – a reminder of the visitors’ firepower. The H2H gap is clear: Al Wakrah have scored 14 goals across the four fixtures to Al Kharitiyath’s 8, and they have kept two clean sheets.

Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakrah Prediction: Win Probability & Betting Tips

Win probability calculation is based on bookmakers’ 1X2 odds (average: home 4.38, draw 2.71, away 2.00) adjusted for recent form and the head‑to‑head record.

• Al Kharitiyath win: 20%
• Draw: 32%
• Al Wakrah win: 48%

The implied probabilities from the odds market already gave Al Wakrah about a 45.6% chance; their superior H2H record (3–1) and slightly better recent results push that number up. Al Kharitiyath’s home advantage is modest – they’ve won only one of their last five at home – and the head‑to‑head shows they can be beaten heavily in familiar surroundings. The draw remains a real possibility given both sides’ recent tendency to share points (two draws each in their last five), but Al Wakrah’s quality and cup‑winning momentum make them the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds from the four tracked bookmakers are:

• Al Kharitiyath: 4.00 – 5.17 (average 4.38)
• Draw: 2.25 – 3.94 (average 2.71)
• Al Wakrah: 1.65 – 2.15 (average 2.00)

These prices clearly point to an away win. Al Wakrah are as short as 1.65 with one bookmaker, while Al Kharitiyath are offered at up to 5.17. Based on all the stats, the most likely outcome is an Al Wakrah victory. The draw, priced around 2.71, cannot be dismissed given the teams’ recent sequences, but the value lies with the away side. Our final match prediction: Al Wakrah to win.