Ceramica Cleopatra - Al Masry prediction 7 October 2026

The Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Masry prediction for October 7, 2026, points to a home win with a 45% probability. This League Cup clash kicks off at 18:00 local time, and based on recent form and head-to-head data, Ceramica Cleopatra enters as the favorite despite bookmakers initially pricing a draw as the most likely outcome.

Team Form

Ceramica Cleopatra comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five Premier League fixtures. They beat National Bank of Egypt 2-0, Smouha SC 2-0 away, Modern Sport FC 2-0, and Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 3-1 away, with the only blemish a 1-2 home loss to El Qanah FC. That's 12 goals scored and just 3 conceded in those five games.

Al Masry's recent form is far less convincing. They lost three straight matches—0-2 at home to Al Ittihad Al Sakandary, 1-2 at Petrojet, and 0-1 at home to Pyramids FC—before recovering with a 3-2 win at Al Mokawloon and a 1-0 home victory over Smouha SC. The away side has struggled for consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last eight meetings across all competitions, Ceramica Cleopatra has won 2, Al Masry has won 3, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on May 1, 2026, saw Al Masry win 1-0 at Ceramica Cleopatra. However, Ceramica Cleopatra recorded a stunning 4-0 away victory in May 2025. At home, Ceramica Cleopatra has failed to beat Al Masry in the last two attempts (0-1 and 1-1), which adds an element of caution to the prediction.

Win Probability: Ceramica Cleopatra or Al Masry?

After normalizing the average bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the baseline probabilities are: Ceramica Cleopatra win 33.2%, draw 45.3%, Al Masry win 21.5%. However, adjusting for current form and home advantage shifts the outlook significantly. Ceramica Cleopatra's four wins in five games, including two clean sheets, contrast sharply with Al Masry's three recent losses. Therefore, we set the final win probabilities at:

• Ceramica Cleopatra win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Al Masry win: 25%

Ceramica Cleopatra is the more likely winner, but the draw remains a real possibility given the head-to-head history.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this League Cup fixture. The best available home win odds are around 2.50, the draw is as low as 1.82, and an away win can be backed at up to 4.75. The tight draw odds reflect the balanced nature of past meetings, but Ceramica Cleopatra's strong form makes the home win the value pick. Our prediction: Ceramica Cleopatra to win, with a 45% chance based on the stats.