Al Gharraf FC - Al Naft prediction 22 October 2026
Al Gharraf FC
Al NaftAl Gharraf FCAl Naft
KarbalaaAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCAl JulanAl ZawraaAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCDiyala FCAl Gharraf FCAl Shorta BagdadAl KahrabaaAl Gharraf FCAl MinaaAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCNewroz SCDuhokAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCAl Nafit MaysanAmanat Baghdad SCAl Gharraf FCAl KahrabaaAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCAl KarkhAl Shorta BagdadAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCAl NaftAl NaftDiyala FCAl MosulAl NaftAl NaftKarbalaaAl KarmaAl NaftAl MinaaAl NaftAl TalabaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftAl NaftAl KarkhAl NaftNewroz SCAl ZawraaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl NaftAl MinaaAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftAl Gharraf FCAl NaftAl NaftAl Gharraf FCAl Gharraf FCAl Naft| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft Prediction (Oct 22)
Our Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft prediction for this Stars League match on October 22, 2026, at 17:00 leans towards an away win or draw. Based on the latest data, Al Naft has a strong 45% chance of winning, with the draw at 35% and Al Gharraf FC at 20%.
Team Form
Al Gharraf FC
Al Gharraf FC's recent form is poor, with results reading W, D, L, L, L across their last five matches. They secured a 2-1 away win against Karbalaa on October 16, but have struggled at home, failing to win in their last three at their own ground, including a 3-1 loss to Diyala FC and a 2-1 defeat to Al Shorta Bagdad.
Al Naft
In contrast, Al Naft comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show W, W, W, L, W. They have won four of their last five, including a 2-0 home victory over Diyala FC on October 9 and an impressive 3-0 away win at Al Minaa in early September.
Head-to-Head Record
The recent head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In their last two meetings, both in the Stars League, Al Gharraf FC has one win and Al Naft has one win, with no draws. On April 9, 2026, Al Naft won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on January 14, 2026, Al Gharraf FC won 2-0 at home. This highlights a trend where the home side has won each of the last two encounters.
League Table Positions
Al Naft sits 3rd in the overall Stars League table with 21 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their away record is also strong, ranked 3rd with 8 points from 5 games. Al Gharraf FC is not in the top 12 overall or home standings provided, suggesting they are in the lower half of the table. The gap in form and points is significant.
Win Probability: Al Gharraf FC or Al Naft?
We calculate the win probability based on odds, team form, and the head-to-head record. Al Naft has a 45% chance of winning, the draw has a 35% probability, and Al Gharraf FC has a 20% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Al Naft's superior form (4 wins in 5) and much higher league position give them a clear edge. Although the H2H shows the last two meetings were won by the home team, Al Gharraf FC's current poor home form (D, L, L) reduces the home advantage significantly. Al Naft is the more likely winner, but a draw is also a strong possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds from the JSON show two sets of prices. One bookmaker offers a home win at 3.75, a draw at 1.85, and an away win at 3.10. Another sets the home win at 3.10, the draw at 2.88, and the away win at 2.30. The variation in odds highlights some uncertainty, but the low draw odds from the first bookmaker and moderate away odds from the second suggest the market sees Al Naft as the favorite, or at least avoiding defeat. Based on the stats, our Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft prediction is an away win or draw, with Al Naft having the highest individual chance of taking all three points.
<h2>Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft โ FAQ</h2>
- Who will win Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft?
- Al Naft is the more likely winner with a 45% probability. A draw has a 35% chance, while Al Gharraf FC has a 20% chance of winning.
- What is the win probability for Al Naft?
- The win probability for Al Naft is 45%. This is based on their strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, a 3rd place league standing, and favorable away odds from bookmakers.
- When is the Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft match?
- The match is scheduled for October 22, 2026, with a kick-off time of 17:00 local time (+01:00). It is a Stars League fixture in Iraq.
- What are the odds for Al Gharraf FC vs Al Naft?
- Available odds vary between bookmakers. One bookmaker lists a home win at 3.75, a draw at 1.85, and an away win at 3.10. Another offers a home win at 3.10, a draw at 2.88, and an away win at 2.30.