Al Mosul - Al Naft prediction 18 September 2026
Al Mosul
Al Naft
Al KarkhAl MosulErbil SCAl MosulAl MosulAl Quwa Al JawiyaAl MosulAl NaftNewroz SCAl MosulAl MosulAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl MosulAl MosulKarbalaaAl MosulDiyala FCAl KarmaAl MosulAl MosulAl Qasim SCNewroz SCAl MosulAl MinaaAl MosulAl MosulDuhokAl MosulAl TalabaAl Gharraf FCAl NaftAl NaftDiyala FCAl MosulAl NaftAl NaftKarbalaaAl KarmaAl NaftAl MinaaAl NaftAl TalabaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftAl NaftAl KarkhAl NaftNewroz SCAl ZawraaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl NaftAl MinaaAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftAl MosulAl NaftAl MosulAl NaftAl NaftAl Mosul| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Al Mosul vs Al Naft Prediction (Sep 18, 2026)
The Al Mosul vs Al Naft prediction for the Stars League clash on September 18, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Al Mosul holds a 40% chance of winning, while the draw is at 35% and Al Naft has a 25% probability. The match kicks off at 15:45 local time in Iraq.
Team Form
Al Mosul have been inconsistent lately, with a last-five record of L, D, L, W, W. However, their home form is strong: they are unbeaten in three home matches this season (W2 D1), scoring 7 goals and conceding only 3. The 3-0 win over Karbalaa and 2-1 victory against Diyala FC highlight their attacking threat at home.
Al Naft come into this match with a recent sequence of L, W, D, D, D. They have drawn three of their last five, showing resilience but a lack of cutting edge. Away from home, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a notable 3-0 victory at Al Minaa but a heavy 3-0 defeat at Al Karma.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met twice in recent Stars League history. Al Mosul hold the edge with 1 win and 1 draw, while Al Naft are yet to register a victory. The most recent encounter on April 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Earlier, on November 21, 2025, Al Mosul secured a 2-1 away win. The H2H record suggests a tight, low-scoring affair is likely again.
League Table Positions
In the overall Stars League standings, Al Naft sit 5th with 9 points from 6 matches (W2 D3 L1), while Al Mosul are 10th with 8 points (W2 D2 L2). However, the home/away splits tell a different story: Al Mosul are 5th in the home table with 7 points from 3 games (W2 D1), and Al Naft are 3rd in the away table with 5 points from 4 trips (W1 D2 L1). The gap is minimal, and home advantage could be decisive.
Win Probability: Al Mosul or Al Naft?
After evaluating all available data, we assign the following win probabilities for this match:
- Al Mosul win: 40%
- Draw: 35%
- Al Naft win: 25%
Al Mosulโs unbeaten home record, their historical edge in the head-to-head (1W 1D), and Al Naftโs tendency to draw matches (3 in last 5) all point toward the home side having the upper hand. However, Al Naftโs solid away form and higher league position keep the contest balanced. The most probable outcome is a narrow Al Mosul win or a draw.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. Based on the statistical profile, Al Mosul emerge as the slight favorite. Our Al Mosul vs Al Naft prediction is a home win or draw, with a 1-1 scoreline a realistic possibility given both teamsโ recent scoring and defensive records. For betting tips, the draw no bet market on Al Mosul could offer value if odds appear.
Al Mosul vs Al Naft โ FAQ
- Who will win Al Mosul vs Al Naft?
- Al Mosul are the more likely winners with a 40% probability, according to our analysis. The draw is rated at 35%, while Al Naft have a 25% chance. Home advantage and a superior head-to-head record give Al Mosul the edge.
- What is the win probability for Al Mosul?
- Al Mosul have a 40% chance of winning this match. This is based on their unbeaten home form this season (2 wins, 1 draw), a positive H2H record (1 win, 1 draw), and Al Naftโs recent run of three draws in five games.
- When is the Al Mosul vs Al Naft match?
- The match is scheduled for September 18, 2026, with kick-off at 15:45 local time. It will be played as part of the Stars League in Iraq.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Betting odds are currently unavailable for this fixture. Based on the stats, Al Mosul are expected to be the slight favorites, with a draw also a strong possibility given the teams' recent form.