Al Nassr Riyadh - Neftchi prediction 12 October 2026
Al Nassr Riyadh
Neftchi
Al Faisaly HarmahAl Nassr RiyadhAl Nassr RiyadhNEOM Sports ClubAl Nassr RiyadhNeftchiAl Nassr RiyadhAl DraihAl Ain Abu DhabiAl Nassr RiyadhAl Khaleej SaihatAl Nassr RiyadhAl Nassr RiyadhAbhaAl Ittihad JeddahAl Nassr RiyadhAl Nassr RiyadhAl Taawon BuraidahAl EttifaqAl Nassr RiyadhAl RiyadhAl Nassr RiyadhAl DraihAl Nassr RiyadhAl Nassr RiyadhAl FatehAl Nassr RiyadhAlmeriaEstrela AmadoraAl Nassr RiyadhNeftchiAl Ittihad JeddahPakhtakorNeftchiNeftchiLokomotiv Farm TashkentFK Kokand 1912NeftchiAl Nassr RiyadhNeftchiNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchLokomotiv Farm TashkentNeftchiNeftchiAl Quwa Al JawiyaNeftchiSurkhon TermezNasaf QarshiNeftchiNeftchiPakhtakorNeftchiSogdianaFK BuxoroNeftchiAndijanNeftchiNeftchiQizilqum ZarafshonAl Nassr RiyadhNeftchi| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain Abu Dhabi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Al Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Esteghlal Tehran | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Al Qadisiya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Shanghai SIPG East Asia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Johor Darul Takzim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Al Ittihad Jeddah | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kyoto Sangyo University | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 23 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 25 |  Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 26 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
| 27 |  Cรดng An Nhรขn Dรขn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 28 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 29 |  Al Gharafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 31 |  Al Wasl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Al Nassr Riyadh vs Neftchi Prediction (Oct 12)
Our Al Nassr Riyadh vs Neftchi prediction for this AFC Champions League clash on Oct 12 at 19:15 points to a home win. Al Nassr Riyadh enters the match as the clear favorite with an estimated 62% win probability, while Neftchi faces an uphill battle at 16%. The draw is rated at 22%.
Team Form
Al Nassr Riyadh's recent form shows inconsistency with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches (W, L, D, W, L). Their most recent outing was a strong 3-0 home victory against Al Draih in the Pro League on Oct 9. However, they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat to Al Ain Abu Dhabi in this competition on Sep 15.
Neftchi has been steadier, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss (D, W, W, W, L). They drew 2-2 at home against Xorazm FK Urganch in the Super League on Oct 7. In the AFC Champions League, they secured a 1-0 home win against Al Quwa Al Jawiya on Sep 14.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no previous head-to-head record between Al Nassr Riyadh and Neftchi. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, making form and league standings the primary indicators for this match.
League Table Positions
In the AFC Champions League standings, Neftchi sits in 11th place with 3 points from 1 match (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses), scoring 1 goal and conceding 0. Al Nassr Riyadh is not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating they have yet to secure points in the competition after their 4-0 loss to Al Ain Abu Dhabi. Al Nassr Riyadh is not present in the home standings table, while Neftchi is absent from the away standings.
Win Probability: Al Nassr Riyadh or Neftchi?
Based on the available data, Al Nassr Riyadh has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Neftchi has a 16% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.20, draw 2.80, away 7.00) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Al Nassr Riyadh's home advantage and Neftchi's slightly better recent form. Al Nassr Riyadh is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Al Nassr Riyadh as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.20, while a draw can be backed at 2.80 and an away win for Neftchi at 7.00. Based on the stats, the prediction is a home victory for Al Nassr Riyadh.
Al Nassr Riyadh vs Neftchi โ FAQ
- Who will win Al Nassr Riyadh vs Neftchi?
- Al Nassr Riyadh is the predicted winner with a 62% probability. Neftchi has a 16% chance, and the draw is rated at 22%. These percentages are based on bookmaker odds and recent team form.
- What is the win probability for Al Nassr Riyadh?
- Al Nassr Riyadh has a 62% chance of winning this AFC Champions League match. This high probability reflects their home advantage and status as the clear favorite in the betting odds, despite a recent heavy defeat in the competition.
- When is the Al Nassr Riyadh vs Neftchi match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, with a kick-off time of 19:15. It is an AFC Champions League fixture taking place in Asia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.20 for an Al Nassr Riyadh win, 2.80 for a draw, and 7.00 for a Neftchi victory. These odds confirm Al Nassr Riyadh as the strong favorite.