Our Al Ahli Jeddah Women vs Al Nassr Riyadh Women prediction for the Premier League Women match on October 2, 2026, at 18:15 in Saudi Arabia, is a comfortable away victory for Al Nassr Riyadh Women, with an 84% win probability. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor the visitors, and recent form and head-to-head records support this outlook.
Al Ahli Jeddah Women's recent form has been mixed: in their last five matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, W, W, D, L). They suffered heavy defeats to Al Hilal Riyadh Women (0-9 and 1-5) but also secured a 1-0 home win over Al Ittihad Jeddah Women and an 8-1 away victory at AL Ula Women. Their inconsistency, especially against top sides, is a concern.
Al Nassr Riyadh Women, on the other hand, have been in strong form, winning four of their last five matches (W, L, W, W, W). Their only defeat came away at Al Ittihad Jeddah Women (4-2), but they have beaten AL Ula Women twice (3-1 and 2-1) and recorded an impressive 4-1 win at Al Hilal Riyadh Women. They are scoring freely and look confident.
In the last three meetings, Al Nassr Riyadh Women hold a 2-1 advantage. The most recent clash on October 3, 2025, ended in a 5-1 away win for Al Nassr. Before that, they won 4-2 on December 13, 2024. Al Ahli's only win came on March 22, 2024, a 5-3 home victory. The head-to-head trend clearly favors Al Nassr, who have scored 12 goals in these three games.
Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
The implied probabilities from the betting odds (home 21.00, draw 8.00, away 1.10) give Al Nassr an overwhelming chance. Their superior recent form and dominant H2H record reinforce this. Al Ahli's only hope is a repeat of their 5-3 win from 2024, but current form suggests that is highly unlikely. Therefore, Al Nassr Riyadh Women is the clear favorite to win.
The latest odds from bookmakers show Al Nassr Riyadh Women as the massive favorite at 1.10, while a home win for Al Ahli Jeddah Women is priced at 21.00 and the draw at 8.00. These odds reflect the gulf in quality and form between the two sides.
Our prediction: Al Nassr Riyadh Women to win. Given their attacking prowess and Al Ahli's defensive frailties, a comfortable away victory is expected. A correct score prediction of 0-3 or 1-4 would align with the data, but the safest betting tip is simply an away win.