Al Nassr Riyadh Women - Al Hilal Riyadh Women prediction 22 October 2026

The Al Nassr Riyadh Women vs Al Hilal Riyadh Women prediction for October 22, 2026, sees Al Nassr Riyadh Women as the favorite based on head-to-head dominance and current odds. This Premier League Women clash kicks off at 17:45, and our win probability model gives Al Nassr a 53% chance of claiming victory.

Team Form

Al Nassr Riyadh Women enter the match with strong recent form, recording four wins in their last five outings. They secured dominant away victories against Al Ahli Jeddah Women (5-0) and AL Ula Women (4-0), alongside home wins over AL Ula Women (3-1) and (2-1). Their only blip was a 4-2 defeat at Al Ittihad Jeddah Women.

Al Hilal Riyadh Women have also shown mixed form with three wins and two losses in their last five. A stunning 9-0 away demolition of Al Ahli Jeddah Women highlights their attacking threat, complemented by away wins at Al Qadisiyah Women (5-1) and Al Nassr Riyadh Women (4-1) earlier in 2026. However, a 3-1 home loss to Al Ittihad Jeddah Women points to some defensive vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record overwhelmingly favors Al Nassr Riyadh Women, who have won both previous encounters. They triumphed 3-1 at home in November 2025 and secured a 4-1 away win in March 2026. Al Hilal Riyadh Women are yet to register a win or even a draw in this fixture, with an aggregate score of 7-2 in Al Nassr's favor.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Saudi Arabia Premier League Women. While exact table positions are not available, recent match results suggest Al Nassr Riyadh Women hold a slight edge in consistency. Al Hilal Riyadh Women's heavy wins against lower-ranked sides demonstrate their capability, but the direct head-to-head record against Al Nassr remains a significant psychological and tactical hurdle.

Win Probability: Al Nassr Riyadh Women or Al Hilal Riyadh Women?

Based on the available data, Al Nassr Riyadh Women has a 53% chance of winning, the draw stands at 20%, and Al Hilal Riyadh Women has a 27% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the available odds (home 2.00, draw 4.33, away 2.60) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The odds imply a 46% home win, 21% draw, and 35% away win raw probability; we have adjusted these significantly in favor of Al Nassr because of their perfect 2-0 head-to-head record against Al Hilal and strong recent form. Al Hilal's chances are reduced by their poor record in this particular fixture, despite some high-scoring away performances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Al Nassr Riyadh Women at 2.00 to win, with the draw available at 4.33 and an Al Hilal Riyadh Women victory at 2.60. These odds make Al Nassr Riyadh Women the clear favorite. Based on the stats, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Al Nassr Riyadh Women are the more likely winners. A betting tip would be to back a home win, as Al Hilal have never taken a point off their rivals in two attempts.